Iowa State Cyclones (1-1) vs. UNLV Rebels (0-2)
September 18, 2021 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: UNLV Rebels +30 ; Over/Under: 51
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The UNLV Rebels meet the Iowa State Cyclones Saturday in week 3 college football action from Allegiant Stadium. Iowa State played Iowa in their last outing. In that game the Cyclones took a 10-point defeat. As for UNLV, they’re coming off a matchup versus Arizona State. The Rebels lost big in that one. Check back all season long for free college football picks at Sports Chat Place.
Iowa State had some trouble fending off Northern Iowa in their opener, but the Cyclones were able to hang on for a tense 16-10 win. Quarterback Brock Purdy had 199 yards on 21-of-26 passing, and Breece Hall led the rushers with 69 yards and a TD on 23 carries.
In game two versus Iowa, the Cyclones couldn’t come back from a 14-10 halftime deficit and took a 27-17 defeat. Purdy managed 138 yards and three interceptions in the loss, and Hall put up 69 yards with a score in 16 carries.
Over on the UNLV side, they had a big fourth quarter in their opener to force overtime, but ultimately fell 35-33 to Eastern Washington. Rebels quarterback Doug Brumfield finished with 117 yards and a pick on 5-of-12 passing, while Charles Williams rushed for 172 yards and two TDs.
In the Arizona State matchup, the Rebels couldn’t score in the second half during a 37-10 defeat. Brumfield put up 60 yards on 6-of-14 passing, and also led the rushers with 43 yards and a score. Kyle Williams added 27 yards from two catches as well.
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The Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last five after an ATS loss and 17-7 ATS in their last 24 after a straight-up loss. Iowa State is also 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
Meanwhile, the Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last five overall. UNLV is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 in September as well.
PICK: I’m going to take Iowa State despite the thick line. Both of these teams need a good bounce-back showing, however. The Cyclones put up 339 total yards in their week two game and held Iowa to just 173 on the other side. The turnovers really hurt Iowa State, however; they had three picks and a lost fumble.
As for UNLV, they put up just 155 total yards in their loss, giving up 462 to Arizona State. The Rebels managed just 11 first downs and had eight punts to the Sun Devils’ two. I like UNLV to play better here but Iowa State just seems closer in cover terms.