College Football

Baylor vs Iowa State 9/25/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

Iowa State Cyclones (2-1) vs. Baylor Bears (3-0)
September 25, 2021 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Baylor Bears +6.5 / Iowa State Cyclones -6.5; Over/Under: 48
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baylor Bears meet the Iowa State Cyclones Saturday in week 4 Big 12 college football action at McLane Stadium in Waco. The Iowa State Cyclones look for a win to build on their 2-1 record. The Baylor Bears look for their second 4-0 start in the last three seasons.

The Iowa State Cyclones have won four of their last five road games. Brock Purdy is completing 71.4 percent of his passes for 625 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Xavier Hutchinson and Charlie Kolar have combined for 346 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Joe Scates has five receptions. The Iowa State Cyclones ground game is averaging 135.7 yards per contest, and Breece Hall leads the way with 238 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa State is allowing 13.3 points and 194 yards per game. Jake Hummel leads the Iowa State Cyclones with 26 tackles, Will McDonald IV has 2.5 sacks and Isheem Young has two interceptions.

The Baylor Bears have won three of their last five home games. Gerry Bohanon is completing 72.9 percent of his passes for 664 yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions. R.J. Sneed and Tyquan Thornton have combined for 440 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Josh Fleeks has six receptions. The Baylor Bears ground game is averaging 323.3 yards per contest, and Abram Smith leads the way with 366 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 11.3 points and 235.7 yards per game. Terrel Bernard leads the Baylor Bears with 19 tackles, Ashton Logan has one sack and Jalen Pitre has one interception.

The Cyclones are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The under is 35-15-2 in Cyclones last 52 games overall. The over is 3-1-1 in Bears last 5 home games. The Cyclones are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Baylor.

Iowa State has proven itself as a consistent good football team that can no longer be overlooked, while the Baylor Bears haven’t played anybody through three games. Iowa State deserves to be favored, even on the road. However, Baylor is once again loaded on the offensive side and has a defense that’s given up a combined 14 points in their last two games. We also saw Iowa State fold in a big game against Iowa, and the Cyclones have had issues at times getting the big victory. Baylor isn’t a pushover. Give me the home dog.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Baylor Bears +6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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