Georgia Tech vs North Carolina 9/25/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets meet the North Carolina Tar Heels and Saturday in week 4 ACC college football action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The North Carolina Tar Heels look for a third straight win to improve to 3-1 on the year. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets need a win here to get back to a .500 record. 

The North Carolina Tar Heels have won seven of their last 10 regular season games. Sam Howell is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 867 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Josh Downs and Antoine Green have combined for 547 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Emery Simmons has six receptions. The North Carolina Tar Heels ground game is averaging 246.3 yards per contest, and Ty Chandler leads the way with 322 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, North Carolina is allowing 24.3 points and 380.3 yards per game. Ja’Qurious Conley leads the North Carolina Tar Heels with 17 tackles, Kaimon Rucker has 2.5 sacks and Power Echols has one interception.

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have lost seven of their last nine games. Jordan Yates is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 592 yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions. Kyrie McGowan and Malachi Carter have combined for 384 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Jahmyr Gibbs has seven receptions. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ground game is averaging 179 yards per contest, and Gibbs leads the way with 185 yards on 40 carries. Defensively, Georgia Tech is allowing 17.7 points and 285.7 yards per game. Ayinde Eley leads the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets with 28 tackles, Jordan Domineck has one sack and Jared Ivey has one interception.

The Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Yellow Jackets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Yellow Jackets last 5 games overall. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have the defense to hang in this game, but their inability to finish drives offensively or run the ball the way they’re used to will be their downfall. North Carolina has looked more like UNC in its last two games and the offensive production has been scary good. If that continues, Georgia Tech won’t have the horses to keep up. UNC is 7-4 against the spread in its last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. I’ll eat the chalk with the Tar Heels.