College Football

Miami vs Virginia 9/30/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

Virginia Cavaliers (2-2) vs. Miami-FL Hurricanes (2-2)
September 30, 2021 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami-FL Hurricanes -3.5 / Virginia Cavaliers +3.5; Over/Under: 62
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Hurricanes meet the Virginia Cavaliers Thursday in a ACC week 5 college football action at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. The Virginia Cavaliers look for a win to get a game above a .500 record. The Miami Hurricanes also need a win here to get to 3-2 on the season.

The Virginia Cavaliers have lost five straight road games. Brennan Armstrong is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,705 yards, 13 touchdowns and three interceptions. Dontayvion Wicks and Billy Kemp IV have combined for 741 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Jelani Woods has 16 receptions. The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 114.8 yards per contest, and Wayne Taulapapa leads the way with 81 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 27.5 points and 423 yards per game. Nick Jackson leads the Virginia Cavaliers with 40 tackles, Noah Taylor has two sacks and Anthony Johnson has one interception.

The Miami Hurricanes have won six of their last eight games. D’Eriq King is completing 66.4 percent of his passes for 767 yards, three touchdowns and four interceptions. Charleston Rambo and Key’Shawn Smith have combined for 448 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Xavier Resterpo has nine receptions. The Miami Hurricanes ground game is averaging 159 yards per contest, and Cam’Ron Harris leads the way with 272 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 26.3 points and 369.8 yards per game. Bubba Bolden leads the Miami Hurricanes with 26 tackles, Chantz Williams has two sacks and Amari Carter has one interception.

The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 home games. The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Miami and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

The Virginia Cavaliers are one of the more explosive offenses in the country, which includes being the top passing team in college football and eighth in total offense. The Miami Hurricanes haven’t looked good against three FBS teams and a blowout win over Central Connecticut doesn’t move the needle. With that said, Miami is still the better team on paper, is at home with the short rest and has had and shoulders the better defense. Virginia is 113th in run defense and 101th in total defense. If Miami can’t take care of business here, the noise surrounding this program only gets louder.

I’ll eat the small number with the Canes.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami-FL Hurricanes -3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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