College Football

Utah State vs BYU 10/1/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

BYU Cougars (4-0) vs. Utah State Aggies (3-1)
October 1, 2021 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Utah State Aggies +8.5 / BYU Cougars -8.5; Over/Under: 58
(Get latest betting odds)

The Utah State Aggies meet the BYU Cougars Friday Night in week 5 college football action at Maverik Stadium for an in-state rivalry game . The BYU Cougars look for another win to start 5-0 for the second straight season. The Utah State Aggies look for a win to build on their 3-1 record.

The BYU Cougars have split their last 10 road games. Jaren Hall is completing 60 percent of his passes for 561 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Neil Pau’u and Gunner Romney have combined for 459 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Puka Nacua has eight receptions. The BYU Cougars ground game is averaging 168 yards per contest, and Tyler Allgeier leads the way with 351 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, BYU is allowing 19.3 points and 388 yards per game. Keenan Pili leads the BYU Cougars with 31 tackles, Payton Wilgar has 1.5 sacks and Hayden Livingston has one interception.

The Utah State Aggies have lost four of their last six home games. Logan Bonner is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 959 yards, seven touchdowns and five interceptions. Deven Thompkins and Brandon Bowling have combined for 840 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Derek Wright has 10 receptions. The Utah State Aggies ground game is averaging 213.5 yards per contest, and Calvin Tyler Jr. leads the way with 414 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Utah State is allowing 29.8 points and 463.3 yards per game. Justin Rice leads the Utah State Aggies with 40 tackles, Nick Heninger has two sacks and Ajani Carter has one interception.

The Cougars are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. The Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 6-1 in Cougars last 7 games overall. The over is 11-5 in Aggies last 16 home games. The underdog is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

I love my home underdogs in the middle of the week and BYU has failed to cover four straight games when favored by seven or more points. However, the Utah State Aggies are one of the worst defensive teams in college football, ranked 121st in total defense, 106th in passing defense, 112th in rushing defense and 101st in points scored. This feels like a game where BYU will grind down Utah State and pull away in the alter quarters. I need more points to consider the Aggies in this spot.

I’ll eat the chalk with BYU on the road.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: BYU Cougars -8.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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