College Football

Alabama vs Ole Miss 10/2/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

Ole Miss Rebels (3-0) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0)
October 2, 2021 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -14.5 / Ole Miss Rebels +14.5; Over/Under: 77.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Ole Miss Rebels and Alabama Crimson Tide square off Saturday afternoon in a SEC week 5 college football action at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Ole Miss Rebels look for their first 4-0 start since the 2015 CFB season. The Alabama Crimson Tide look for a 5-0 start for a sixth straight season.

The Ole Miss Rebels have lost seven of their last nine road games. Matt Corral is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 997 yards, nine touchdowns and zero interceptions. Dontario Drummond and Jonathan Mingo have combined for 629 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Braylon Sanders has eight receptions. The Ole Miss Rebels ground game is averaging 298.7 yards per contest, and Jerrion Ealy leads the way with 188 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Ole Miss is allowing 20.7 points and 344.7 yards per game. Chance Campbell leads the Ole Miss Rebels with 19 tackles, Sam Williams has four sacks and Deantre Prince has one interception.

The Alabama Crimson Tide haven’t lost a home game since November of 2019. Bryce Young is completing 72.1 percent of his passes for 1,124 yards, 15 touchdowns and one interception. Jameson Williams and John Metchie III have combined for 539 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jahleel Billingsley has six receptions. The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 151.8 yards per contest, and Brian Robinson Jr. leads the way with 208 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 17.5 points and 283.8 yards per game. Henry To’oTo’o leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 25 tackles, Phidarian Mathis has 2.5 sacks and Marcus Banks has one interception.

The Rebels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Crimson Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The over is 11-5-1 in Rebels last 17 games in October. The over is 3-1-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 games overall. The Rebels are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Alabama.

The Ole Miss Rebels have had an extra week to prepare for this game and they’re arguably the best offensive team in the country, which is first in total offense, first in points scored and fourth in rushing yards. Ole Miss also hung around with Alabama last year, putting up 48 points and being down just a touchdown entering the fourth quarter. The Alabama Crimson Tide have had issues running the ball this season and are just 2-4 against the spread in their last six games as a double-digit favorite. This game could be more competitive than you think. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Ole Miss Rebels +14.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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