College Football

CFB Predictions: Florida vs Vanderbilt 10/9/21 College Football Picks

Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3) vs. Florida Gators (3-2)
October 9, 2021 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Gators -39 / Vanderbilt Commodores +39; Over/Under: 58.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Florida Gators meet the Vanderbilt Commodores Saturday in SEC college football week 6 action at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The Vanderbilt Commodores need a win here to get back to a .500 record. The Florida Gators need a win after losing two of their last three games. 

The Vanderbilt Commodores have lost nine of their last 10 road games. Ken Seals is completing 56.4 percent of his passes for 894 yards, five touchdowns and five interceptions. Chris Pierce Jr. and Will Sheppard have combined for 578 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Devin Boddie Jr. has 17 receptions. The Vanderbilt Commodores ground game is averaging 119 yards per contest, and Rocko Griffin leads the way with 215 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Vanderbilt is allowing 35 points and 447.8 yards per game. Ethan Barr leads the Vanderbilt Commodores with 40 tackles, Jaylen Mahoney has one sack and Gabe Jeudy-Lally has one interception.

The Florida Gators have won six of their last eight home games. Emory Jones is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 871 yards, five touchdowns and six interceptions. Jacob Copeland and Xzavier Henderson have combined for 444 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Rick Wells has 12 receptions. The Florida Gators ground game is averaging 292.6 yards per contest, and Jones leads the way with 439 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Florida is allowing 19.8 points and 325.6 yards per game. Mohamoud Diabate leads the Florida Gators with 37 tackles, Brenton Cox Jr. has six sacks and Kaiir Elam has one interception.

The Commodores are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Gators are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The under is 5-1 in Commodores last 6 road games. The over is 7-3-1 in Gators last 11 games in October. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The Vanderbilt Commodores aren’t a good football team, as they lost to East Tennessee State, didn’t score against Georgia and nearly lost to UConn last week. With that said, Florida is one-dimensional offensively, turns the ball over a lot and isn’t all that great defensively due to constant missed tackles. Florida lost to Kentucky last week for the first time in forever and has LSU on deck next week. Possible weird trap game? Bottom line is I’m not laying this many points with the Gators. It’s too much. Vanderbilt or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores +39

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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