College Football

Indiana vs Michigan State 10/16/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

Michigan State Spartans (6-0) vs. Indiana Hoosiers (2-3)
October 16, 2021 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Hoosiers +4.5 / Michigan State Spartans -4.5; Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Hoosiers and Michigan State Spartans meet in a week 7 Big Ten college football contest from Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Indiana on Saturday afternoon.

The Michigan State Spartans will look to add to their 31-13 win over Rutgers last time out. Payton Thorne’s thrown for 1,576 yards, 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 62.4% passing while Kenneth Walker III has rushed for 912 yards and 9 TDs. Jayden Reed and Jalen Nailor each have 23 catches for 490+ receiving yards and a combined 11 touchdowns while Tre Mosley has 310 receiving yards this season. Xavier Henderson has a team-high 52 total tackles and a pair of sacks while Jacub Panasiuk has a team-high 4.5 sacks and Jeff Pietrowski has 3.5 sacks.

The Indiana Hoosiers will look to rebound from a 24-0 loss at the hands of Penn State last time out. Michael Penix Jr. has a team-high 939 passing yards, 4 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 53.7% passing but is week-to-week with a shoulder injury. Jack Tuttle’s thrown for 168 yards while Stephen Carr’s rushed for 386 yards and 3 rushing TDs. Peyton Hendershot and Ty Fryfogle each have 270+ receiving yards while D.J. Matthews Jr. and Miles Marshall each have 100+ receiving yards. Defensively, Ryder Anderson leads Indiana with 29 total tackles and 3 sacks while Micah McFadden has a pair of sacks.

Michigan State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 conference games while the under is 8-2 in their last 10 games in October. Indiana is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 home games.

Call it what you want, but you have a Michigan State team that’s solid defensively against an Indiana team that’s going to be without their leader in Michael Penix Jr. for the foreseeable future and will probably be playing things close to the vest here. All I see when we put it like that is an under so that’s the way I’m leaning in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 50.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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