New Mexico vs Colorado State 10/16/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

The New Mexico Lobos and Colorado State Rams do battle in a week 7 Mountain West conference college football battle from DreamStyle Stadium in Albuquerque on Saturday night.

The Colorado State Rams will look to build on a commanding 32-14 win over San Jose State last time out. Todd Centeio has thrown for 1,039 yards, 5 touchdowns and an interception on 59.4% passing while also rushing for 203 yards. David Bailey and A’Jon Vivens have each rushed for 200+ yards while Trey McBride leads CSU’s receivers with 42 catches for 458 yards this season. Three other Rams each have 100+ receiving yards this season. O defense, Dequan Jackson leads the Rams with 47 total tackles while Scott Patchan and Mohamed Kamara each have 3.5 sacks to lead Colorado State this season.

The New Mexico Lobos will be out to bounce back from a 31-7 loss at the hands of San Diego State last time out. Terry Wilson has thrown for 1,058 yards, 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 58% passing while Aaron Dumas and Bobby Cole have each rused for 200+ yards this year. Luke Wysong leads the Lobos with 21 catches for 222 yards while Mannie Logan-Greene and Andrew Erickson each have 100+ receiving yards. On defense, Tavian Combes leads the Lobos with 50 total tackles while Jerrick Reed II has 47 total tackles and Joey Noble has a team-high 3 sacks.

Colorado State is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a win and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against a team with a losing home record while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. New Mexico is 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games overall and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss.

I give the Rams credit for battling hard on the road this season, and while I’m not a fan of that home loss to Vanderbilt, they’ve covered their last three games and dominated a San Jose State team that won the conference championship last season. The Lobos haven’t covered yet this season and a terrible offense has been a big reason for that, an offense that’s putting up just 15.2 PPG this season. There’s better options on the board, but I have to side with the Rams laying the points on the road as I could see a double-digit win for the Rams in this spot.