Mississippi State vs Alabama 10/16/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide do battle in a key SEC week 7 college football contest on Saturday night at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. The Alabama Crimson Tide look for a rebound win to build on their 5-1 record. The Mississippi State Bulldogs look for a win after splitting their last four games.

The Alabama Crimson Tide have won six of their last seven road games. Bryce Young is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 1,734 yards, 20 touchdowns and three interceptions. Jameson Williams and John Metchie III have combined for 873 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Jahleel Billingsley has 10 receptions. The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 161.7 yards per contest, and Brian Robinson Jr. leads the way with 526 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 22 points and 300.8 yards per game. Henry To’oTo’o leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 41 tackles, Phidarian Mathis has 3.5 sacks and DeMarcco Hellams has two interceptions.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs have won four of their last six home games. Will Rogers is completing 75.7 percent of his passes for 1,862 yards, 14 touchdowns and two interceptions. Makai Polk and Austin Williams have combined for 779 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Jaden Walley has 19 receptions. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 56.2 yards per contest, and Dillon Johnson leads the way with 149 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 25 points and 318.4 yards per game. Jett Johnson leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 37 tackles, Randy Charlton has two sacks and Emmanuel Forbes has two interceptions.

The Crimson Tide are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in October. The over is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 games overall. The under is 11-3 in Bulldogs last 14 home games. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

The Alabama Crimson Tide didn’t look good last week, mainly on the defensive side, and now they have to play back-to-back road games. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are a one dimensional style offense with a rushing attack that’s ranked 130th in CFB, but they throw the ball around the yard well, and they beat the same Texas A&M team that just beat Bama. Also, Mississippi State has had an extra week to prepare for this contest. I’ll take my chances with the road dog here.