Air Force vs San Diego State 10/23/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

The Air Force Falcons meet the San Diego State Aztecs Saturday in week 8 MWC college football action at Falcon Stadium. The San Diego State Aztecs look for another win to improve to 7-0 on the season. The Air Force Falcons look to build on their four-game winning streak.

The San Diego State Aztecs have split their last six road games. Jordon Brookshire is completing 47.6 percent of his passes for 521 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Daniel Bellinger and BJ Busbee have combined for 312 receiving yards and one touchdown, while Jesse Matthews has 11 receptions. The San Diego State Aztecs ground game is averaging 212.8 yards per contest, and Greg Bell leads the way with 561 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 16 points and 282.8 yards per game. Patrick McMorris leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 40 tackles, Caden McDonald has 3.5 sacks and Tayler Hawkins has two interceptions.

The Air Force Falcons have won three of their last four home games. Haaziq Daniels is completing 47.9 percent of his passes for 553 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Micah Davis and Brandon Lewis have combined for 436 receiving yards and two touchdowns, while Kyle Patterson has three receptions. The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 336.4 yards per contest, and Brad Roberts leads the way with 818 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 16.3 points and 288.9 yards per game. Vince Sanford leads the Air Force Falcons with 31 tackles, Demonte Meeks has 3.5 sacks and Corvan Taylor has three interceptions.

The Aztecs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in October and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The under is 37-16-2 in Aztecs last 55 games overall. The under is 12-3 in Falcons last 15 games overall. The Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Air Force and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

The Air Force Falcons are a good football team and will finally get a chance to prove it against a respectable opponent on national TV. However, Air Force isn’t good enough for me to leave free points on the table with San Diego State. The San Diego State Aztecs are the more proven team and has a physical edge in the trenches. Also, while Air Force is the best rushing offense in the country, San Diego State is the best rushing defense. Something has to give, right? Give me the points.