Fresno State vs Boise State 11/6/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

The Fresno State Bulldogs meet the Boise State Broncos Saturday in Week 10 MWC college football action from Bulldog Stadium.

The Boise State Broncos will look to build on a 28-19 win over Colorado State in their last game. Hank Bachmeier has thrown for 2,204 yards, 15 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 65% passing while Cyrus Habibi-Likio has a team-high 242 rushing yards and another pair of Broncos have 100+ rushing yards this season. Khalil Shakir leads Boise State’s receiving group with 49 catches for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns while Stefan Cobbs and Octavius Evans each have 300+ receiving yards with Cobbs logging 5 receiving touchdowns. Another pair of Broncos have 100+ receiving yards on the year. On defense, JL Skinner leads Boise State with 65 total tackles while Scott Matlock and Isaiah Bagnah each have a team-high 6 sacks and Tyric LeBeauf has a team-high 3 interceptions this season.

The Fresno State Bulldogs will look to add to their current three-game winning streak after a 30-20 win over San Diego State last time out. Jake Haener has thrown for 2,888 yards, 23 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 66.9% passing while Ronnie Rivers and Jordan Mims each have 500+ rushing yards and 4 touchdowns, combining for 1,077 yards this season. Jalen Cropper leads Fresno State in receiving with 61 catches for 664 yards and 10 touchdowns while Josh Kelly has 590 receiving yards and Keric Wheatfall has 456 receiving yards. Zan Pope has 352 receiving yards while another four Bulldogs have at least 100 receiving yards this season. On defense, Evan Williams leads the Bulldogs with 69 total tackles and 3 interceptions while Kevin Atkins has a team-high 6 sacks and David Perales and Arron Mosby each have 4 sacks. Leonard Payne Jr. also has 3.5 sacks for Fresno State this season.

Boise State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Fresno State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.

I get the case that can be made for Boise State as a letdown could be in for the Bulldogs after such a big win over San Diego State. However, I think it’s the opposite as the win puts the Bulldogs in the driver’s seat for a spot in the Mountain West title game and with that dynamic offense leading the way, anything seems possible for Fresno State at this point. Boise State’s been good on the road, but I think the Bulldogs get the better of the matchup and win this one at home by at least a touchdown. I’ll lay it and play it with Fresno State here.