College Football

Texas State vs ULM 11/6/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-4) vs. Texas State Bobcats (2-6)
November 6, 2021 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas State Bobcats -3.5 / Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +3.5; Over/Under: -60.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas State Bobcats battle the UL Monroe Warhawks Saturday in week 10 Sun Belt college football action at Bobcat Stadium. The UL Monroe Warhawks look to get a game above a .500 record. The Texas State Bobcats look to snap a three-game losing streak.

The UL Monroe Warhawks have lost all three road games this season. Chandler Rogers is completing 61.7 percent of his passes for 962 yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Boogie Knight and Zach Jackson have combined for 644 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jared Sparks has 23 receptions. The UL Monroe Warhawks ground game is averaging 123.1 yards per contest, and Andrew Henry leads the way with 397 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing 37.5 points and 459 yards per game. Traveion Webster leads the UL Monroe Warhawks with 58 tackles, Ty Shelby has 5.5 sacks and Jabari Johnson has one interception.

The Texas State Bobcats have lost three of their last four home games. Brady McBride is completing 59.8 percent of his passes for 1,507 yards, 12 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Marcell Barbee and Javen Banks have combined for 756 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Trevis Graham Jr. has 10 receptions. The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 143.6 yards per contest, and Calvin Hill leads the way with 412 yards on 86 carries. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 35.3 points and 423.5 yards per game. Troy Lefeged Jr. leads the Texas State Bobcats with 54 tackles, Issiah Nixon has three sacks and Zion Childress has one interception.

The Warhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 games overall. The Bobcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games and 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. The over is 5-0 in Warhawks last 5 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Bobcats last 6 home games. The Warhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

I’m not running to the window to back either of these teams that have serious issues on both sides of the ball. If anything, the over is worth a look, with these being two of the worst defensive clubs in college football. With that said, Texas State is at home and is slightly better offensively. The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks have had no luck on the road this season. I’ll lay the reasonable number with the Bobcats, but there are better options out there.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Texas State Bobcats -3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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