College Football

Nevada vs Air Force 11/19/21 College Football Picks, Best Bets and Odds

Air Force Falcons (7-3) vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (7-3)
November 19, 2021 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack -2 / Air Force Falcons +2; Over/Under: -52.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Nevada Wolf Pack and Air Force Falcons clash Friday night in week 12 MWC college football action at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada. The Air Force Falcons look for a win after winning five of their last seven games. The Nevada Wolf Pack look for a win after winning five of their last seven games.

The Air Force Falcons have won all four road games this season. Haaziq Daniels is completing 47.2 percent of his passes for 909 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Micah Davis and Brandon Lewis have combined for 645 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Dane Kinamon has 7 receptions. The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 311.1 yards per contest, and Brad Roberts leads the way with 1,064 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 17.6 points and 288.3 yards per game. Trey Taylor leads the Air Force Falcons with 48 tackles, Vince Sanford has 6.5 sacks and Corvan Taylor has 3 interceptions.

The Nevada Wolf Pack have won all five home games this season. Carson Strong is completing 70.5 percent of his passes for 3,547 yards, 28 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Romeo Doubs and Cole Turner have combined for 1,471 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns, while Melquan Stovall has 51 receptions. The Nevada Wolf Pack ground game is averaging 64.2 yards per contest, and Toa Taua leads the way with 558 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 24.2 points and 387.4 yards per game. Daiyan Henley leads the Nevada Wolf Pack with 77 tackles, Tristan Nichols has 9.5 sacks and Tyson Williams has 2 interceptions.

The Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wolf Pack are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 17-5 in Falcons last 22 games overall. The over is 5-2-1 in Wolf Pack last 8 home games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The Nevada Wolf Pack are undefeated at home and have great balance to their attack, so it’s no wonder why they’re favored here. However, the Air Force Falcons are arguably the better team here, with the best rushing attack in the country and an elite defense that’s ranked fifth in total defense and 11th in scoring defense. This should be a fun MWC game on a Friday night, but I lean Air Force and the free points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Air Force Falcons +2

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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