Georgia State vs Arkansas State 11/20/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

The Georgia State Panthers meet the Arkansas State Red Wolves on Saturday in week 12 Sun Belt college football action at Center Parc Stadium. The Arkansas State Red Wolves need a win to rebound from a 2-8 record. The Georgia State Panthers look for a win to get a game above a .500 record.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have lost four of their last five road games. Layne Hatcher is completing 57.8 percent of his passes for 1,873 yards, 16 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Te’Vailance Hunt and Corey Rucker have combined for 1429 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while Jeff Foreman has 29 receptions. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 79.6 yards per contest, and Lincoln Pare leads the way with 340 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 41.1 points and 530.8 yards per game. Elery Alexander leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 72 tackles, Joe Ozougwu has 6.5 sacks and Samy Johnson has 2 interceptions.

The Georgia State Panthers have split their last four home games. Darren Grainger is completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 1,220 yards, 14 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Jamari Thrash and Roger Carter have combined for 632 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Ja’Cyais Credle has 18 receptions. The Georgia State Panthers ground game is averaging 217.6 yards per contest, and Tucker Gregg leads the way with 718 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Georgia State is allowing 30.2 points and 425.7 yards per game. Jordan Veneziale leads the Georgia State Panthers with 78 tackles, Blake Carroll has 4.5 sacks and Antavious Lane has 2 interceptions.

The Red Wolves are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games in November and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on turf. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. The under is 5-0 in Red Wolves last 5 games overall. The over is 8-3 in Panthers last 11 home games. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are a tough sell, as they don’t do much of anything right, and they’re 130th in total defense and 128th in scoring defense. The Georgia State Panthers can clinch a bowl spot with a victory here, and while they’re not the sexiest team in the world, they’ve covered five straight and are 7-3 ATS on the season. If it’s not broken, don’t fix it. I’ll follow the trends here and six with Georgia State in a home blowout.