Air Force vs UNLV 11/26/21 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Air Force Falcons and UNLV Rebels clash Friday afternoon in week 13 MWC college football action from Clune Stadium in the Usaf Academy.

The UNLV Rebels come into this looking to take another step in the right direction and finish strong after a narrow 28-20 loss to San Diego State last time out. Cameron Friel has thrown for 1,608 yards, 6 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 62.4% passing while Charles Williams leads the Rebels with 1,124 rushing yards and 13 TDs. Steve Jenkins and Kyle Williams each have 600+ receiving yards as well for the Rebels on the year. On defense, Jacoby Windmon leads UNLV with 102 total tackles and 6.5 sacks while Phillip Hill has 3 interceptions this season.  

The Air Force Falcons will try to build on a 41-39 OT win over Nevada last time out. Haaziq Daniels has thrown for 932 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 45.7% passing while also rushing for 705 yards and 9 scores. . Brad Roberts has 1,181 yards and 11 touchdowns while DeAndre Hughes and Micah Davis have 471 and 360 rushing yards respectively this season. Brandon Lewis also leads Air Force’s receiving group with 16 catches for 447 yards. On defense, Corvan Taylor leads the Falcons with 51 total tacles and 3 interceptions while Vince Sanford has a team-high 8.5 sacks and Jordan Jackson has 5.5 sacks as well this season.

UNLV is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall while the over is 13-3 in their last 16 Friday games. Air Force is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games.

I get the case that could be made both ways here, but I think this ends up being a grind it out type of game that chews up more clock than a champion of a bubble gum blowing contest. I think this might be one of the lower-scoring games in the conference this season, so give me the under here.