College Football

Duke vs Miami 11/27/21 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Miami-FL Hurricanes (6-5) vs. Duke Blue Devils (3-8)
November 27, 2021 12:30 pm EDT
The Line: Duke Blue Devils +21 / Miami-FL Hurricanes -21; Over/Under: -68
(Get latest betting odds)

The Duke Blue Devils meet the Miami Hurricanes on Saturday in week 13 ACC college football action at Wallace Wade Stadium. The Miami Hurricanes look for a win after winning four of their last five games. The Duke Blue Devils look to snap a seven-game losing streak.

The Miami Hurricanes have lost two of their last three road games. Tyler Van Dyke is completing 61.1 percent of his passes for 2,550 yards, 22 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Charleston Rambo and Mike Harley have combined for 1,518 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Key’Shawn Smith has 32 receptions. The Miami Hurricanes ground game is averaging 127.7 yards per contest, and Jaylan Knighton leads the way with 510 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 30.1 points and 405.1 yards per game. Corey Flagg Jr. leads the Miami Hurricanes with 53 tackles, Zach McCloud has 5.5 sacks and James Williams has 2 interceptions.

The Duke Blue Devils have lost three straight home games. Gunnar Holmberg is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 2,210 yards, 7 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Jake Bobo and Jalon Calhoun have combined for 1,447 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Mataeo Durant has 25 receptions. The Duke Blue Devils ground game is averaging 193 yards per contest, and Durant leads the way with 1,173 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Duke is allowing 39.1 points and 517.1 yards per game. Shaka Heyward leads the Duke Blue Devils with 87 tackles, RJ Oben has 5 sacks and Leonard Johnson has 2 interceptions.

The Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Blue Devils are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 conference games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Hurricanes last 6 games overall. The over is 18-7-1 in Blue Devils last 26 home games. The Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

I’m not thrilled about laying three touchdowns on the road with Miami, but what exactly is the alternative? The Duke Blue Devils look like they’ve thrown in the towel on the season two months ago, and their defense is possibly the worst in college football. Duke is 129th in total defense, 128th in passing defense, 117th in rushing defense and 125th in scoring defense. Miami should have a field day offensively with its new-found quarterback. I have to side with Miami in a blowout.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami-FL Hurricanes -21

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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