Baylor Bears (10-2) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-1)
December 4, 2021 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma State Cowboys -7 / Baylor Bears +7; Over/Under: -49.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma State Cowboys meet theBaylor Bears on Saturday in the Big 12 championship game in college football action from AT&T Stadium.
The Baylor Bears come into this one with a record of 10-2 after picking up a 27-24 win over Texas Tech to finish the regular season. Gerry Bohanon has thrown for 2,160 yards, 17 TDs and 6 interceptions on 64.3% passing while Abram Smith has a team-high 1.366 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns and Trestan Ebner has 748 rushing yards as well this season. Tyquan Thornton has a team-high 55 catches for 875 yards and 8 TDs while R.J. Sneed has 555 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. Ben Sims and Drew Estrada each have 300+ receiving yards as well for Baylor this season. On defense, Terrel Bernard has a team-high 76 total tackles and 5 sacks while JT Woods has 3 interceptions and Gabe Hall has 5 sacks as well this season.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys will come into the championship game with a record of 11-1 after a 37-33 win over Oklahoma to finish the year. Spencer Sanders has thrown for 2,211 yards, 16 touchdowns, 8 interceptions on 60.5% passing while Jaylen Warren’s rushed for a team-high 1,134 yards with 11 touchdowns and Tay Martin has a team-high 61 catches for 854 yards and 7 touchdowns. Brennan Presley has 38 catches for 462 yards and 6 scores while Blaine Green and Rashod Owens each have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Malcolm Rodriguez has a team-high 106 total tackles with 3 sacks while Kolby Harvell-Peel has a team-high 3 interceptions. Collin Oliver leads OK State with 8.5 sacks while Brock Martin has 6 sacks this season.
Baylor is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record. Oklahoma State is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 7-1 in their last 8 games in December.
I get why Oklahoma State would be favored here as the Cowboys hae been rock solid this season, but I’m still not sold that the Cowboys can get much separation from Baylor in this one. Sure, Oklahoma State won by 10 against Baylor earlier this season and we saw OK State pull out some impressive performances down the stretch, but this just feels like a field goal game whichever way you slice it. Give me Baylor and the points in this one.