College Football

Navy vs Army 12/11/21 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Army Black Knights (8-3) vs. Navy Midshipmen (3-8)
December 11, 2021 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Navy Midshipmen +7.5 / Army Black Knights -7.5; Over/Under: 36
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Navy Midshipmen and Army Black Knights square off Saturday afternoon for the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy in week 15 college football action at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. The Army Black Knights look to build on their four-game winning streak. The Navy Midshipmen need a win after losing five of their last seven games.

The Army Black Knights have won three of their last five non-home games. Christian Anderson is completing 47.7 percent of his passes for 545 yards, 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Isaiah Alston and Tyrell Robinson have combined for 652 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Braheam Murphy has 5 receptions. The Army Black Knights ground game is averaging 301.7 yards per contest, and Robinson leads the way with 582 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Army is allowing 22.8 points and 324.2 yards per game. Arik Smith leads the Army Black Knights with 65 tackles, Andre Carter II has 13.5 sacks and Marquel Broughton has 2 interceptions.

Winning Props Bets

The Navy Midshipmen have lost three of their last five non-home games. Tai Lavatai is completing 54.5 percent of his passes for 367 yards, 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Mychal Cooper and Chance Warren have combined for 348 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Kai Puailoa-Rojas has 3 receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 229.3 yards per contest, and Isaac Ruoss leads the way with 608 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 29.6 points and 359.8 yards per game. Diego Fagot leads the Navy Midshipmen with 85 tackles, Clay Cromwell has 2.5 sacks and Kevin Brennan has 1 interception.

The Black Knights are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. The Midshipmen are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 6-2 in Black Knights last 8 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Midshipmen last 7 games overall. The Black Knights are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The under is 17-4 in the last 21 meetings.

The Navy Midshipmen are having one of their most disappointing seasons in recent memory, but they are showing recent signs of life, which includes a blowout road win over Temple. The Army Black Knights are one of the more underrated teams in the country, as they have the second best rushing attack, they’re a top-20 scoring offense and their defense is extremely consistent. I usually lean the points in this rivalry game, especially when six of the last nine meetings have been decided by seven or fewer points. However, Navy struggles to finish drives offensively and the defense is 92nd in scoring defense. And while Navy runs the ball well, Army is 11th in rush defense. This could be one of those rare recent blowouts in this rivalry. I’ll lay the chalk.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Army Black Knights -7.5
Free Bet Match Up To $1,001; Use code DAWGZRF

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.

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