College Football

Week 4: New Mexico State vs Hawaii 9/24/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (1-3) vs. New Mexico State Aggies (0-4)
September 24, 2022 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Mexico State Aggies -5.5 / Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +5.5; Over/Under: 53.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The New Mexico State Aggies and Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors clash Saturday night in week 4 college football action at Aggie Memorial Stadium. The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors look to rebound from a 1-3 start. The New Mexico State Aggies look to avoid their first 0-5 start since the 2019 season.

The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors have lost 4 of their last 5 road games. Brayden Schager is completing 59.4 percent of his passes for 398 yards, 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Jonah Panoke and Jalen Walthall have combined for 284 receiving yards on 24 catches, while James Phillips has 14 receptions. The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors ground game is averaging 109 yards per contest, and Dedrick Parson leads the way with 197 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing 45.5 points and 493.3 yards per game. Virdel Edwards II leads the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors with 21 tackles, Penei Pavihi has 1 sack and Malik Hausman has 3 interceptions.

The New Mexico State Aggies have split their last 8 home games. Gavin Frakes is completing 42.9 percent of his passes for 263 yards, 1 touchdown and 5 interceptions. Justice Powers and Jordin Parker have combined for 209 receiving yards on 9 catches, while Kordell David has 7 receptions. The New Mexico State Aggies ground game is averaging 110.8 yards per contest, and Star Thomas leads the way with 109 yards on 28 carries. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 36.8 points and 411 yards per game. Bryce Jackson leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 26 tackles, Lazarus Williams has 2 sacks and Syrus Dumas has 1 interception.

The Rainbow Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The under is 9-3 in Rainbow Warriors last 12 road games. The under is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 non-conference games. The Rainbow Warriors are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New Mexico State and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

This line is a bit confusing to me. Yes, the New Mexico State Aggies are at home and probably the more talented team overall. The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors aren’t a good team, and they usually get worse on the road. However, let’s not act like New Mexico State has shown anything through four games that has you wanting to lay chalk regardless of opponent. New Mexico State is 130th in total offense, 131st in scoring offense and 117th in scoring defense. Not a game I’d touch personally, but if forced to pick, I want points in my back pocket. These are two stinkers.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +5.5

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.
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