College Football

SMU vs Navy 10/14/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Navy Midshipmen (2-3) vs. SMU Mustangs (2-3)
October 14, 2022 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: SMU Mustangs -13 / Navy Midshipmen +13; Over/Under: 57
(Get latest betting odds)

The SMU Mustangs and Navy Midshipmen clash Friday night in week 7 AAC college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The Navy Midshipmen look to get to a .500 record. The SMU Mustangs look to snap a 3-game losing streak.

The Navy Midshipmen have lost 4 of their last 7 road games. Tai Lavatai is completing 52 percent of his passes for 515 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Vincent Terrell Jr. and Jayden Umbarger have combined for 256 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Mark Walker has 6 receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 231.8 yards per contest, and Maquel Haywood leads the way with 181 yards on 35 carries. Defensively, Navy is allowing 21 points and 349 yards per game. John Marshall leads the Navy Midshipmen with 34 tackles, Jacob Busic has 4 sacks and Tyler Fletcher has 1 interception.

The SMU Mustangs have won 6 of their last 8 home games. Tanner Mordecai is completing 59.2 percent of his passes for 1,680 yards, 12 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Rashee Rice and Jake Bailey have combined for 892 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Moochie Dixon has 13 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 145.2 yards per contest, and Velton Gardner leads the way with 230 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, SMU is allowing 28.6 points and 420.2 yards per game. Jimmy Phillips Jr. leads the SMU Mustangs with 34 tackles, Elijah Chatman has 3 sacks and Nick Roberts has 1 interception.

The Midshipmen are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Mustangs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The under is 9-4 in Midshipmen last 13 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Mustangs last 5 games overall. The Midshipmen are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. 

The Navy Midshipmen don’t have the talent of an SMU, but they do two things well, and that’s run the football and stop the run. That should allow Navy to hang around. The SMU Mustangs are coming off three straight subpar performances, and their defense leaves a lot to be desired. SMU is 103rd in total defense, 106th in run defense and 82nd in scoring defense. Yikes. Navy should be able to do just enough to hang around. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Navy Midshipmen +13

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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