College Football

AAC: Tulsa vs SMU 10/29/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

SMU Mustangs (3-4) vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-4)
October 29, 2022 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Tulsa Golden Hurricane +3 / SMU Mustangs -3; Over/Under: +68
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane and SMU Mustangs clash Saturday in week 9 AAC college football action at Chapman Stadium. The SMU Mustangs look to get back to a .500 record. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane also look for their fourth win of the year.

The SMU Mustangs have lost 5 of their last 6 road games. Tanner Mordecai is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 2,121 yards, 16 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Rashee Rice and Jordan Kerley have combined for 1,041 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Moochie Dixon has 16 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 138.5 yards per contest, and Velton Gardner leads the way with 230 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, SMU is allowing 29.5 points and 435.2 yards per game. Jimmy Phillips Jr. leads the SMU Mustangs with 41 tackles, Nelson Paul has 4 sacks and Nick Roberts has 1 interception.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have won 5 of their last 8 home games. Davis Brin is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 1,994 yards, 16 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Keylon Stokes and JuanCarlos Santana have combined for 1,326 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Malachai Jones has 26 receptions. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane ground game is averaging 110.8 yards per contest, and Steven Anderson leads the way with 300 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing 35.2 points and 400.3 yards per game. Bryson Powers leads the Tulsa Golden Hurricane with 60 tackles, Joseph Anderson has 2 sacks and Justin Wright has 2 interceptions.

The Mustangs are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Golden Hurricane are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. The under is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games on fieldturf. The Mustangs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

I’m not running to the window to back either of these teams. With that said, I do lean toward the over in this spot. The SMU Mustangs are 109th in total defense, 122nd in rush defense and 91st in scoring defense. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are 90th in total defense, 128th in rush defense and 119th in scoring defense. This is a spot where both teams should have a field day offensively. Give me the over.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 68

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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