North Carolina Tar Heels (5-1) vs. Duke Blue Devils (4-2)
October 15, 2022 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Duke Blue Devils +6 / North Carolina Tar Heels -6; Over/Under: 66
(Get latest betting odds)
The Duke Blue Devils and North Carolina Tar Heels clash Saturday in ACC week 7 college football action at Wallace Wade Stadium. The North Carolina Tar Heels look to build on their 5-1 record. The Duke Blue Devils look for a win after splitting their last 4 games.
The North Carolina Tar Heels have won their last 3 road games. Drake Maye is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 1,903 yards, 21 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Josh Downs and Antoine Green have combined for 571 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Bryson Nesbit has 15 receptions. The North Carolina Tar Heels ground game is averaging 183.2 yards per contest, and Omarion Hampton leads the way with 329 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, North Carolina is allowing 32 points and 465.3 yards per game. Cedric Gray leads the North Carolina Tar Heels with 67 tackles, Noah Taylor has 3.5 sacks and Storm Duck has 1 interception.
The Duke Blue Devils have won 6 of their last 10 home games. Riley Leonard is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 1,312 yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Jalon Calhoun and Eli Pancol have combined for 601 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jordan Moore has 25 receptions. The Duke Blue Devils ground game is averaging 190.7 yards per contest, and Jaylen Coleman leads the way with 308 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Duke is allowing 19.7 points and 379.8 yards per game. Darius Joiner leads the Duke Blue Devils with 46 tackles, Ja’Mion Franklin has 2.5 sacks and Brandon Johnson has 1 interception.
The Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Blue Devils are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 conference games and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The over is 17-8 in Tar Heels last 25 road games. The under is 5-1-1 in Blue Devils last 7 games overall. The Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
The North Carolina Tar Heels are looking more and more like the team we expected to see before the season, and Maye is making a case as the best quarterback in the country. I understand why UNC is favored here. With that said, the Duke Blue Devils are far from pushovers, a team that’s been in every game this year and has an above average offense with the 34th best ground game. Throw in the fact this is a rivalry game and I have to grab the free touchdown with the Blue Devils at home.