ACC: Virginia vs Louisville 10/8/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Virginia Cavaliers and Louisville Cardinals clash Saturday in a ACC week 6 college football game from Scott Stadium.

The Louisville Cardinals will look to get back to .500 after falling to 2-3 on the year after a 34-33 loss to Boston College in their last game. Malik Cunningham’s thrown for 968 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 62.2% passing while also rushing for a team-high 457 yards and 9 scores. Tiyon Evans has 263 rushing yards and 3 TDs this season while Tyler Hudson has a team-high 22 grabs for 312 yards and Ahmari Higgins-Bruce has 265 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Kenderick Duncan leads the Cardinals with 37 total tackles including 27 solo tackles while Benjamin Perry also has 20 solo tackles and YaYa Diaby and Ashton Gillotte have a combined 7 sacks.

The Virginia Cavaliers will also try to get back to .500, also dropping to 2-3 after their 38-17 loss to Duke last time out. Brennan Armstrong’s thrown for 1,050 yards, 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 52% passing while also rushing for 202 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Perris Jones has a team-high 314 rushing yards and a pair of scores while Keytaon Thompson has a team-high 32 catches for 351 receiving yards. Two other Cavalier receivers have 200+ receiving yards this season. On defense, Nick Jackson has a team-high 51 total tackles while Chico Bennett Jr. and Aaron Faumui have a combined 7.5 sacks this season.

Louisville is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss. Virginia is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games.

I get the case to be made for a home underdog in some spots, but the problem that I have here is that Virginia really hasn’t been that good this season and are not a team I’m looking to back, even getting points at home. Louisville hasn’t been overly consistent themselves, but they’re the more consistent offense in terms of production and if they can keep some sort of defensive pressure up, I like them to win this one by at least a touchdown so give me Louisville here.