College Football

Big 12: Baylor vs Oklahoma State 10/1/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0) vs. Baylor Bears (3-1)
October 1, 2022 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Baylor Bears -2.5 / Oklahoma State Cowboys +2.5; Over/Under: +56
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baylor Bears and Oklahoma State Cowboys do battle Saturday in a week 5 Big 12 college football matchup from McLane Stadium.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys will try to build on their 3-0 start after a 63-7 win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff last time out. Spencer Sanders has thrown for 916 yards, 10 touchdowns and an interception on 65.3% passing while Dominic Richardson has a team-high 215 rushing yards and a pair of rushing scores. Braydon Johnson leads Oklahoma State’s receiving group with 14 catches for 300 yards and 3 touchdowns while three other Cowboys have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Mason Cobb has a team-high 24 total tackles including 15 solo tackles while Oklahoma State’s defensive unit has combined for 9 sacks this season.

The Baylor Bears will be out to build on their 31-24 win over Iowa State last time out to improve to 3-1 on the year. Blake Shapen has thrown for 773 yards, 7 touchdowns and an interception on 69% passing while Richard Reese has 315 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns while Craig Williams and Qualan Jones have combined for 314 rushing yards and 4 rushing TDs this season. Gavin Holmes leads the Bears’ receiving group with 157 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns while Hal Presley and Ben Sims each have 100+ receiving yards as well with Sims logging two TDs of his own. On defense, Al Walcott has a team-high 23 total tackles while Baylor’s defense as a whole has combined for 10 sacks so far this season.

Oklahoma State is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Baylor is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 45-22 ATS in their last 67 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.

This is going to be one heck of a game between two of the best that the Big 12 currently has to offer. That being said, I’m going with the under. I know Oklahoma State’s been in some high-scoring affairs so far this season, but the reality is that Spencer Sanders still has some issues with turnovers and a strong defensive bunch like Baylor will make you pay for those mistakes. The thing about Baylor though is they’re normally defense first and don’t always put up the flashy numbers that a team like OK State does. I think this one finishes in the mid- to high-40s, so give me the under in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 56

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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