Big 12: Kansas State vs Texas Tech 10/1/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Kansas State Wildcats and Texas Tech Red Raiders clash Saturday in Big 12 week 5 college football action at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. The Texas Tech Red Raiders look to build on their 3-1 record. The Kansas State Wildcats also look to get off to a 4-1 start.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders have lost 4 of their last 6 road games. Donovan Smith is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 1,116 yards, 9 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Myles Price and Jerand Bradley have combined for 463 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Nehemiah Martinez has 14 receptions. The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 113.5 yards per contest, and Tahj Brooks leads the way with 168 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 25.3 points and 325.3 yards per game. Krishon Merriweather leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 27 tackles, Tyree Wilson has 3 sacks and Reggie Pearson Jr. has 2 interceptions.

The Kansas State Wildcats have split their last 8 home games. Adrian Martinez is completing 62 percent of his passes for 538 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Malik Knowles and Phillip Brooks have combined for 263 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Ben Sinnott has 9 receptions. The Kansas State Wildcats ground game is averaging 248.8 yards per contest, and Deuce Vaughn leads the way with 468 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas State is allowing 15.8 points and 348 yards per game. Austin Moore leads the Kansas State Wildcats with 28 tackles, Felix Anudike-Uzomah has 2.5 sacks and Cincere Mason has 2 interceptions.

The Red Raiders are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Red Raiders last 5 road games. The under is 8-3 in Wildcats last 11 games overall. The Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kansas State and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The Kansas State Wildcats should be favored at home as they’re probably the better, more balanced team, but I am concerned about a possible letdown in this spot after their win over Oklahoma. Also, the Texas Tech Red Raiders have a pair of wins over ranked teams this season, and they have the third best passing offense. Texas Tech is far from a pushover and has proven itself against quality competition. We’re getting just over a full touchdown. I’ll take it.