College Football

Big 12: Texas vs West Virginia 10/1/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

West Virginia Mountaineers (2-2) vs. Texas Longhorns (2-2)
October 1, 2022 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Longhorns -9.5 / West Virginia Mountaineers +9.5; Over/Under: +61
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Longhorns and West Virginia Mountaineers square off Saturday in week 5 Big 12 college football action from Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.

The West Virginia Mountaineers will look to build on their 33-10 win over Virginia Tech last time out. JT Daniels has thrown for 956 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 64.9% passing while CJ Donaldson has a team-high 380 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns on the ground and Tony Mathis Jr. also has 272 rushing yards as well on the year. Bryce Ford-Wheaton has a team-high 27 grabs for 319 yards and 4 touchdowns while Kaden Prather and Sam James each have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Lee Kpogba has a team-high 24 total tackles while Dante Stills has 2.5 sacks and Davis Mallinger has a pair of sacks as well this year.

The Texas Longhorns will look to rebound from a 37-34 OT loss to Texas Tech to fall to 2-2 on the year as a result. Hudson Card has thrown for 620 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception on 66.3% passing while Bijan Robinson leads Texas in rushing with 412 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns this season. Xavier Worthy has a team-high 212 receiving yards while three other Longhorns have at least 100 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jaylan Ford has a team-high 37 total tackles including 24 solo tackles while Texas’ defense as a whole has 8 sacks this season.

West Virginia is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games while the under is 7-2 in their last 9 games following a win. Texas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss.

I get the case to be made either way here, but I’m leaning towards West Virginia with the points. If this line was under a touchdown, maybe I could go with the Longhorns, but getting more than a touchdown with West Virginia in what’s normally a tight matchup against a Texas team that’s had some defensive issues sounds like a fine play to me. I could easily see this being a 41-37 kind of game whichever way it goes, but either way has the Mountaineers covering the number so give me WVU plus the points here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: West Virginia +9.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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