College Football

Illinois vs Minnesota 10/15/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-1) vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (5-1)
October 15, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini +6.5 / Minnesota Golden Gophers -6.5; Over/Under: +37.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Illinois Fighting Illini and Minnesota Golden Gophers do battle in a week 7 Big Ten college football game from Illinois Memorial Stadium.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers will try to rebound from their first loss of the season prior to their bye week, falling to 4-1 with the 20-10 loss to Purdue last time out. Tanner Morgan’s thrown for 1,143 yards, 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 70.5% passing while Mohamed Ibrahim leads Minnesota’s ground attack with 567 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Trey Potts and Bryce Williams have also combined for 499 rushing yards and 5 scores this season. Brevyn Spann-Ford and Michael Brown-Stephens each have 200+ receiving yards on the year. On defense, Mariano Sori-Marin has a team-high 32 total tackles while Danny Striggow has 3 sacks this season.

The Illinois Fighting Illini will look to build on their four-game win streak, improving to 5-1 on the year after a 9-6 win over Iowa last time out. Tommy DeVito’s thrown for 1,163 yards, 9 touchdowns and a pair of interceptions on 68.9% passing while Chase Brown’s rushed for 879 yards and 4 touchdowns. Pat Bryant leads the Illini with 313 receiving yards while Isaiah Williams has a team-high 38 grabs for 284 receiving yards so far and Brian Hightower also has 247 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jer’Zhan Newton has a team-high 33 total tackles with 3 sacks while Keith Randolph Jr. has a team-high 4 sacks. Seth Coleman and Gabe Jacas have combined for 6.5 sacks and Kendall Smith has a team-high 3 interceptions this season.

Minnesota is 31-15-5 ATS in their last 51 road games and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Illinois is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

I get the case to be made either way here, but I’m not sure how to look any way except the under in this one. These are the top two scoring defenses in the country, both teams’ strong suit is running the football, both struggle to pass the ball and both stuff the run extremely well. This is going to be an ugly, black and blue Big Ten game with lots of hard hitting and battles in the trenches. I expect a 17-10 kind of game whichever way you have it going, so give me the under in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 37.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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