College Football

Boise State vs BYU 11/5/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

BYU Cougars (4-5) vs. Boise State Broncos (6-2)
November 5, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State Broncos -7.5 / BYU Cougars +7.5; Over/Under: +55
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boise State Broncos and BYU Cougars clash Saturday in a week 10 college football game from Albertsons Stadium.

The BYU Cougars will be out to snap a four-game losing skid after a 27-24 loss to East Carolina last time out, dropping to 4-5 on the year. Jaren Hall’s thrown for 2,245 yards, 21 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.6% passing while Christopher Brooks has 463 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns to lead BYU on the ground. Kody Epps leads BYU’s receivers with 39 catches for 459 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns while Keanu Hill has 410 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns as well this season. Puka Nacua also has 382 receiving yards with 3 TDs while BYU has another pair of 200-yard receivers as well this season. On defense, Ben Bywater has a team-high 69 total tackles while BYU’s whole unit has combined for 9 sacks and 6 interceptions.

The Boise State Broncos will hope to keep their winning streak going after making it four wins in a row, improving to 6-2 on the year after a 49-10 win over Colorado State last time out. Taylen Green’s thrown for 862 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 picks on 67.3% passing while also rushing for 258 yards and 5 scores this season to lead the Broncos on the ground. George Holani has a team-high 657 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns while Ashton Jeanty has 400 rushing yards and 5 scores as well. Three different Broncos have 200+ receiving yards, led by Stefan Cobbs who has 22 grabs for a team-high 256 yards this season. On defense, DJ Schramm leads the Broncos with 57 total tackles including 25 solo tackles while Ezekiel Noa and Demitri Washington each have a team-high 4.5 sacks and George Tarias has 4 sacks.

BYU is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 non-conference games. Boise State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 non-conference games.

I get the case to be made for BYU here as an underdog, but the issue I have is that BYU’s pass defense has been downright awful over the last month, and it’s been a big reason why the Cougars are riding a four-game losing skid. Boise State’s been going in a completely different direction since switching to Taylen Green at QB and I think the Broncos keep that momentum going with a win and cover in what I see as a 10-point win for Boise State at the end of this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Boise State -7.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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