College Football

Illinois vs Purdue 11/12/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Purdue Boilermakers (5-4) vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (7-2)
November 12, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5 / Purdue Boilermakers +6.5; Over/Under: +46.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Illinois Fighting Illini and Purdue Boilermakers clash Saturday in week 11 Big Ten college football action at Memorial Stadium. The Purdue Boilermakers look to rebound from back to back losses. The Illinois Fighting Illini look to build on their 7-2 record.

The Purdue Boilermakers have split their last 4 road games. Aidan O’Connell is completing 64 percent of his passes for 2,438 yards, 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Charlie Jones and Payne Durham have combined for 1,355 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns, while TJ Sheffield has 25 receptions. The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 126.6 yards per contest, and Devin Mockobee leads the way with 626 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 25.3 points and 355.6 yards per game. Sanoussi Kane leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 43 tackles, Jack Sullivan has 4 sacks and Cam Allen has 3 interceptions.

The Illinois Fighting Illini have won 5 of their last 6 home games. Tommy DeVito is completing 71.8 percent of his passes for 1,882 yards, 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Isaiah Williams and Pat Bryant have combined for 932 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Brian Hightower has 29 receptions. The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 193.2 yards per contest, and Chase Brown leads the way with 1,344 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 10.4 points and 235.2 yards per game. Jer’Zhan Newton leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 47 tackles, Gabe Jacas has 4 sacks and Sydney Brown has 4 interceptions.

The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Fighting Illini are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The over is 8-3 in Boilermakers last 11 games overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Fighting Illini last 4 games overall. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. The road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

The Purdue Boilermakers are coming off back to back sluggish performances, and they’re still getting little to nothing from their ground game. It’s hard to win in the Big Ten when you can’t run the football. The Illinois Fighting Illini are coming off a bad loss against Michigan State, but they’re still a trustworthy team because of a defense that’s first in total defense, second in passing defense, fourth in rush defense and first in scoring defense. The best defense in the country plays in Champaign, Illinois. I’ll lay the points with the home team.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Illinois Fighting Illini -6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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