College Football

Kentucky vs Vanderbilt 11/12/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Vanderbilt Commodores (3-6) vs. Kentucky Wildcats (6-3)
November 12, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Kentucky Wildcats -17.5 / Vanderbilt Commodores +17.5; Over/Under: +52
(Get latest betting odds)

The Kentucky Wildcats and Vanderbilt Commodores clash Saturday in week 11 SEC college football action at Kroger Field. The Vanderbilt Commodores look to snap a 5-game losing streak. The Kentucky Wildcats look for a win after splitting their last 6 games.

The Vanderbilt Commodores have lost 3 straight road games. AJ Swann is completing 57.5 percent of his passes for 1,195 yards, 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Will Sheppard and Jayden McGowan have combined for 1,031 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Quincy Skinner Jr. has 13 receptions. The Vanderbilt Commodores ground game is averaging 149 yards per contest, and Ray Davis leads the way with 731 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Vanderbilt is allowing 36.8 points and 472.9 yards per game. Anfernee Orji leads the Vanderbilt Commodores with 89 tackles, Kane Patterson has 2.5 sacks and De’Rickey Wright has 3 interceptions.

The Kentucky Wildcats have won 4 of their last 5 home games. Will Levis is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 1,903 yards, 16 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Tayvion Robinson and Barion Brown have combined for 837 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Dane Key has 25 receptions. The Kentucky Wildcats ground game is averaging 113.6 yards per contest, and Chris Rodriguez Jr. leads the way with 571 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Kentucky is allowing 19.6 points and 302.6 yards per game. DeAndre Square leads the Kentucky Wildcats with 55 tackles, J.J. Weaver has 2 sacks and Keidron Smith has 1 interception.

The Commodores are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wildcats are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 home games and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The over is 7-3 in Commodores last 10 games overall. The under is 5-0 in Wildcats last 5 games overall. The Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kentucky and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

The Kentucky Wildcats have fallen off over the last month or so and the offense has had serious issues finishing drives. Laying this many points feels risky. With that said, the Vanderbilt Commodores are terrible on both sides of the ball, which includes being ranked 80th in scoring offense and 125th in scoring defense. There’s no reason why Kentucky shouldn’t win this game by a comfortable margin. I’ll lay the chalk.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Kentucky Wildcats -17.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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