College Football

Missouri vs Kentucky 11/5/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Kentucky Wildcats (5-3) vs. Missouri Tigers (4-4)
November 5, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Missouri Tigers +2.5 / Kentucky Wildcats -2.5; Over/Under: +42.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Missouri Tigers and Kentucky Wildcats do battle Saturday in a week 10 SEC college football matchup from Faurot Field.

The Kentucky Wildcats will look to rebound from losses in 3 of their last 4 games after dropping to 5-3 on the year with a 44-6 loss to Tennessee last time out. Will Levis has thrown for 1,733 yards, 13 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 68.1% passing while Chris Rodriguez Jr. has a team-high 459 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns and Kavosley Smoke has 275 rushing yards as well this season. Tayvion Robinson has a team-high 29 catches for 403 receiving yards and 3 scores while Barion Brown and Dane Key each have 300+ receiving yards, combining for 692 yards receiving with 5 touchdowns. On defense, DeAndre Square also has a team-high 55 total tackles while Kentucky’s defense has combined for 11 sacks and 6 interceptions this season

The Missouri Tigers will try to get back above .500, improving to 4-4 on the year with back-to-back wins following a 23-10 win over South Carolina last time out. Brady Cook has thrown for 1,652 yards, 6 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 65.3% passing while Cody Schrader and Nathaniel Peat have combined for 831 rushing yards with Schrader logging 5 scores. Dominic Lovett leads Missouri with 45 catches for 659 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns. On defense, Ty’Ron Hopper has a team-high 47 total tackles including 40 solo tackles and a pair of sacks and Missouri’s defense has 17 sacks and 7 interceptions as a whole this season

Kentucky is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss while the under is 28-11 in their last 39 conference games. Missouri is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games while the under is 7-0 in their last 7 conference games.

I get the case to be made either way here, but I’m looking at the under in this one. I’m not knocking Kentucky for getting pummelled by Tennessee, it’s happened to a lot of teams already this season. However, the Wildcats still have some pretty decent-sized offensive issues right now, scoring 19 or less in three of their last four games and a trip to Missouri won’t help, but the Tigers aren’t world-beaters offensively in their own right either. This has 24-17 written all over it in my opinion, so give me the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 42.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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