MWC: Boise State vs Fresno State 10/8/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Boise State Broncos and Fresno State Bulldogs clash Saturday in a week 6 MWC college football matchup from Albertsons Stadium.

The Fresno State Bulldogs will look to rebound after a 19-14 loss to UConn last time out as 22.5-point favorites last time out, dropping to 2-3 with their third straight loss. Jake Haener has thrown for 854 yards 4 touchdowns and an interception on 71.4% passing while Logan Fife has thrown for 297 yards and 2 interceptions on 79.4% passing this season. Jordan Mims has rushed for 348 yards and 5 touchdowns as well this season. Jalen Moreno-Cropper and Nikko Remigio each have 200+ yards while 3 other Bulldogs have at least 100 receiving yards as well this season. Levelle Bailey leads Fresno State’s defense with 32 total tackles including while Fresno State’s defense has combined for 7 sacks as well this season.

The Boise State Broncos will try to build on a 35-13 win over San Diego State to improve to 3-2 on the year. Taylen Green’s thrown for 203 yards and a pick on 63.2% passing while also rushing for 207 yards and 4 scores this season to lead the Broncos on the ground. George Holani has a team-high 392 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns while Billy Bowens has a team-high 147 receiving yards this season. On defense, DJ Schramm leads the Broncos with 44 total tackles including 21 solo tackles while George Tarlas has 3 sacks this season.

Fresno State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 road games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Boise State is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games while the under is 10-2 in their last 12 games overall.

I get the case to be made both ways here, but I’m looking at the under here. I’m still not sure what to make of Boise State despite looking good in their first game with Taylen Green under center. Fresno State’s a lot better than what we saw last week, but it’s hard to back them without Jake Haener at QB and even if he plays here, I’m doubting that he’s at 100%. All in all, I think this is a game that a lot of folks could think would be high-scoring but ends up being a snoozefest. Give me the under here.