NC State vs Maryland 12/30/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Maryland Terrapins and NC State Wolfpack meet Friday in the college football Mayo Bowl at Bank of America Stadium. The Maryland Terrapins have split their last 10 games. The NC State Wolfpack have split their last 8 games.

The Maryland Terrapins have lost 3 of their last 4 non-home games. Taulia Tagovailoa is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 2,787 yards, 17 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Jeshaun Jones and Rakim Jarrett have combined for 949 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Corey Dyches has 35 receptions. The Maryland Terrapins ground game is averaging 147.1 yards per contest, and Roman Hemby leads the way with 924 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Maryland is allowing 24.1 points and 362.2 yards per game. Beau Brade leads the Maryland Terrapins with 78 tackles, Greg China-Rose has 4 sacks and Dante Trader Jr. has 2 interceptions.

The NC State Wolfpack have lost 3 of their last 4 non-home games. Devin Leary is completing 61.1 percent of his passes for 1,265 yards, 11 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Thayer Thomas and Devin Carter have combined for 994 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Keyon Lesane has 29 receptions. The NC State Wolfpack ground game is averaging 121 yards per contest, and Jordan Houston leads the way with 530 yards on 127 carries. Defensively, NC State is allowing 19.4 points and 325.7 yards per game. Drake Thomas leads the NC State Wolfpack with 90 tackles, Davin Vann has 4.5 sacks and Aydan White has 4 interceptions.

The Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wolfpack are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 bowl games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The under is 9-4 in Terrapins last 13 games on grass. The over is 5-2 in Wolfpack last 7 games on grass. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

This is a strange line when you consider this is pretty much a home game for the NC State Wolfpack, with it taking place in Charlotte. Also, let’s not act like the Maryland Terrapins didn’t feast on bad competition this season, as SMU is the only team they beat that had a winning record. NC State has a lot of work to do offensively, but this is a tough-minded team with one of the better defenses in the bowl season. I’ll gladly take the points here in a game the Wolfpack could easily win outright.