College Football

UCF vs Navy 11/19/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Navy Midshipmen (3-7) vs. UCF Knights (8-2)
November 19, 2022 11:00 am EDT
The Line: UCF Knights -16.5 / Navy Midshipmen +16.5; Over/Under: +53
(Get latest betting odds)

The UCF Knights and Navy Midshipmem do battle Saturday in week 12 AAC college football action at FBC Mortgage Stadium. The Navy Midshipmen have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The UCF Knights look to build on their 3-game winning streak.

The Navy Midshipmen have lost 3 straight road games. Tai Lavatai is completing 46.2 percent of his passes for 787 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Jayden Umbarger and Mark Walker have combined for 507 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Vincent Terrell Jr. has 9 receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 238.7 yards per contest, and Daba Fofana leads the way with 635 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 25.8 points and 360.4 yards per game. John Marshall leads the Navy Midshipmen with 78 tackles, Jacob Busic has 6 sacks and Elias Larry has 2 interceptions.

The UCF Knights have won 4 straight home games. John Rhys Plumlee is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 2,015 yards, 12 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Ryan O’Keefe and Javon Baker have combined for 1,125 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Kobe Hudson has 24 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 249.8 yards per contest, and Rhys Plumlee leads the way with 708 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 20 points and 364.4 yards per game. Jason Johnson leads the UCF Knights with 93 tackles, Tre’mon Morris-Brash has 6 sacks and Divaad Wilson has 3 interceptions.

The Midshipmen are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Midshipmen last 6 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Knights last 5 home games.

The UCF Knights are the better, more talented team, and they’ve been one of the better clubs at home over the years. I understand why the line is what it is. However, as bad as Navy and its record is, this team competes on both sides of the ball and has a top-10 rushing attack which chews the clock and makes it hard for opponents to complete blowouts. Five of Navy’s 7 losses this season have been decided by 10 or fewer points. Navy just took Notre Dame down to the wire last week. Navy doesn’t get blown off the field often. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Navy Midshipmen +16.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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