College Football

Virginia vs North Carolina 11/5/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

North Carolina Tar Heels (7-1) vs. Virginia Cavaliers (3-5)
November 5, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers +9.5 / North Carolina Tar Heels -9.5; Over/Under: 58.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Virginia Cavaliers and North Carolina Tar Heels clash Saturday in week 10 ACC college football action at Scott Stadium. The North Carolina Tar Heels look to build on their 4-game winning streak. The Virginia Cavaliers need a win after losing 4 of their last 5 games.

The North Carolina Tar Heels have won 4 straight road games. Drake Maye is completing 71.3 percent of his passes for 2,671 yards, 29 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Antoine Green and Josh Downs have combined for 1,091 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns, while J.J. Jones has 15 receptions. The North Carolina Tar Heels ground game is averaging 168 yards per contest, and Maye leads the way with 439 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, North Carolina is allowing 31.4 points and 462.6 yards per game. Cedric Gray leads the North Carolina Tar Heels with 82 tackles, Noah Taylor has 3.5 sacks and Storm Duck has 1 interception.

The Virginia Cavaliers have lost 4 of their last 6 home games. Brennan Armstrong is completing 55.7 percent of his passes for 1,826 yards, 6 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Keytaon Thompson and Dontayvion Wicks have combined for 1,009 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Lavel Davis Jr. has 16 receptions. The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 135 yards per contest, and Perris Jones leads the way with 365 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 21.5 points and 340.9 yards per game. Nick Jackson leads the Virginia Cavaliers with 84 tackles, Chico Bennett Jr. has 7 sacks and Anthony Johnson has 2 interceptions.

The Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games. The over is 7-3 in Tar Heels last 10 games overall. The under is 15-5-1 in Cavaliers last 21 games overall. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

The North Carolina Tar Heels still have issues defensively, but they have arguably the best quarterback in the country and an offense that’s 8th in total offense and seventh in scoring offense. The Virginia Cavaliers have serious issues scoring the football and just lost to Miami in a game where neither team could find the end zone. Bad defense or not, Virginia doesn’t have the horses to keep up with UNC. I’ll lay the chalk with the road team.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels -9.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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