College Football

Week 1: Iowa State vs Southeast Missouri State 9/3/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (0-0) vs. Iowa State Cyclones (0-0)
September 3, 2022 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Iowa State Cyclones -35.5 / Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +35.5; Over/Under: -
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks and Iowa State Cyclones clash Saturday afternoon in week 1 of college football action at Jack Trice Stadium. The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks won 4 games last year and enter the ninth season under coach Tom Matukewicz. The Iowa State Cyclones won 7 games last year and enter the seventh season under coach Matt Campbell.

The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks averaged 27 points and 360.6 yards per game last season. Southeast Missouri State allowed an average of 31 points and 430.5 yards per game last season. CJ Ogbonna returns at quarterback after throwing for 1,500 yards, 12 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Johnny King and Will Weidemann is a returning receiving duo that combined for 500 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Geno Hess led the Redhawks with 1,100 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns. Defensively, Bryce Norman returns after leading Southeast Missouri State with 66 tackles, Jacob Morrissey had 3 sacks and Trai Hodges had 4 interceptions. Southeast Missouri State will have to find some new receiving options, but the rest of the roster appears to be in great shape. The Redhawks have their quarterback, a 1,000-yard rusher and the majority of last year’s key defensive players. After just 4 wins last year, Southeast Missouri State has a chance to be the most improved team in the OVC this year.

The Iowa State Cyclones averaged 31.3 points and 424.5 yards per game last season. Iowa State allowed an average of 20.5 points and 309.6 yards per game last season. Hunter Dekkers takes over at quarterback after 36 pass attempts last season. Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel are a returning receiving duo that combined for 1,200 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jirehl Brock had almost 200 rushing yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Anthony Johnson Jr. returns after 55 tackles, Will McDonald IV led the Cyclones with 11.5 sacks and T.J. Tampa had 3 pass deflections. Iowa State will look like a new team, as it has to replace its quarterback, many receivers and its top-4 tacklers from a year ago. There may be growing pains early as there’s a lot of roster turnover. However, Hutchinson at wide receiver and McDonald on the defensive line are two of the better players in the Big 12 at their respective positions.

The Redhawks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September. The Cyclones are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Redhawks last 7 road games. The under is 9-2 in Cyclones last 11 home games.

The Iowa State Cyclones are obviously the more talented team here and could blow the doors off, but they’re also a team that’s replacing a lot of production on both sides of the ball from last year. Also, the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks have a chance to be the most improved team in their conference, and we certainly know they’ll be the more motivated team here. This is a lot of points. It’s the Redhawks and the boatload of points or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +35.5
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