College Football

Week 6: UMass vs Liberty 10/8/22 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

Liberty Flames (4-1) vs. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-4)
October 8, 2022 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Massachusetts Minutemen +25.5 / Liberty Flames -25.5; Over/Under: 50.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Umass Minutemen and Liberty Flames clash Saturday in a week 6 college football game at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. The Liberty Flames look to build on their 4-1 record. The Umass Minutemen need a win to rebound from a 1-4 record.

The Liberty Flames have won 5 of their last 9 road games. Kaidon Salter is completing 54.9 percent of his passes for 776 yards, 6 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Demario Douglas and CJ Yarbrough have combined for 514 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Noah Frith has 6 receptions. The Liberty Flames ground game is averaging 196 yards per contest, and Dae Dae Hunter leads the way with 454 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Liberty is allowing 22.8 points and 365.6 yards per game. Mike Smith Jr. leads the Liberty Flames with 38 tackles, TreShaun Clark has 4 sacks and Robert Rahimi has 3 interceptions.

The Umass Minutemen have lost 5 of their last 7 home games. Gino Campiotti is completing 47.8 percent of his passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 5 interceptions. George Johnson III and Cameron Sullivan-Brown have combined for 263 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Rico Arnold has 4 receptions. The Umass Minutemen ground game is averaging 182.2 yards per contest, and Campiotti leads the way with 360 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Umass is allowing 29.6 points and 354 yards per game. Jalen Mackie leads the Umass Minutemen with 36 tackles, Marcus Bradley has 1.5 sacks and Jordan Mahoney has 2 interceptions.

The Flames are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 road games and 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Minutemen are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in October and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The over is 4-1-1 in Flames last 6 road games. The under is 4-1 in Minutemen last 5 games overall.

The Umass Minutemen show every week that they’re just not to the point where they can hang with FBS competition. To make matters worse, UMass doesn’t cover numbers despite being big underdogs on a weekly basis. Oddsmakers are telling you what they think of the Minutemen, possibly the worst team in the country. Liberty has its issues as well, but the Flames should have no issues lighting Massachusetts on fire. I’ll lay the chalk.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Liberty Flames -25.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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