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Calgary Stampeders vs. Montreal Alouettes CFL Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/21/18

Montreal Alouettes (1-3) vs. Calgary Stampeders (4-0)

CFL Football: Saturday, July 21, 2018 at 9:00 pm (McMahon Stadium)

The Line: Calgary Stampeders -20 -- Over/Under: 48.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: TSN, RDS, ESPN2

The Montreal Alouettes and Calgary Stampeders meet Saturday in CFL action at McMahon Stadium.

The Montreal Alouettes look for a statement road victory to rebound from a rough 1-3 start to the season. The Montreal Alouettes have lost 10 of their last 11 road games. Jeff Mathews is completing 61.7 percent of his passes for 396 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Drew Willy and Jeff Mathews have combined for four touchdown passes and two interceptions this season. Chris Williams and B.J. Cunningham have combined for 487 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Tyrell Sutton has 15 receptions. The Montreal Alouettes ground game is averaging 54.8 yards per contest, and Sutton leads the way with 179 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Montreal is allowing 30.8 points and 412 yards per game. Chris Ackie leads the Montreal Alouettes with 30 tackles, Jabar Westerman has two sacks and Branden Dozier has one interception.

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Calgary Stampeders vs. Montreal Alouettes CFL Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/21/18

Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

The Calgary Stampeders look to create early distance in the West Division by getting off to an impressive 5-0 record. The Calgary Stampeders have won eight of their last 10 home games. Bo Levi Mitchell is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 1,038 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Levi Mitchell has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last 10 games. Kamar Jorden and DaVaris Daniels have combined for 471 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Eric Rogers has 11 receptions. The Calgary Stampeders ground game is averaging 143.8 yards per contest, and Don Jackson leads the way with 396 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Calgary is allowing 9.5 points and 270.8 yards per game. Alex Singleton leads the Calgary Stampeders with 22 tackles, Micah Johnson has four sacks and Brandon Smith has one interception.

The Alouettes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Stampeders are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Alouettes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Calgary, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

This is a matchup between probably the worst team in the league against the best team in the league, so there's good reason why this line is so high. However, this spread is insanely high and a number I usually don't want to get involved with. You're not giving yourself much wiggle room with a spread this high. The Montreal Alouettes have covered 11 of their last 15 games as a double-digit underdog. The Calgary Stampeders have covered six of their last seven games as a double-digit favorite, but none of those previous numbers were as high as this one. I'd stay away from this game, but if forced to pick, I'm not sure how anybody can turn down 20 free points.

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