Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. BC Lions CFL Pick, Odds, Prediction - 11/11/18
Photo by John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
BC Lions (9-9) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (8-10)
CFL Football: Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 1:00 pm (Tim Hortons Field)
The Line: Hamilton Tiger-Cats -1 -- Over/Under: 52
TV: TSN, RDS, ESPNews
The BC Lions and Hamilton Tiger-Cats meet Sunday in the CFL East Semifinal at Tim Hortons Field.
The BC Lions head into the postseason splitting their last six games. The BC Lions have lost five of their last seven road games. Travis Lulay is completing 60.1 percent of his passes for 2,494 yards, 13 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Jonathon Jennings and Lulay have combined for 21 touchdown passes and 18 interceptions this season. Bryan Burnham and Ricky Collins have combined for 1,640 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Emmanuel Arceneaux has 32 receptions. The BC Lions ground game is averaging 94.4 yards per contest, and Jeremiah Johnson leads the way with 633 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, BC is allowing 26.3 points and 361.1 yards per game. T.J. Lee leads the BC Lions with 81 tackles, Odell Willis has 11 sacks and Winston Rose has five interceptions.
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats head into the postseason on a three-game losing streak. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats have lost three of their last four home games. Jeremiah Masoli is completing 66 percent of his passes for 5,209 yards, 28 touchdowns and 18 interceptions. Masoli has 43 touchdown passes dating back to last season. Brandon Banks and Luke Tasker have combined for 2,527 receiving yards and 22 touchdowns while Mike Jones has 18 receptions. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats ground game is averaging 110.6 yards per contest, and Alex Green leads the way with 604 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Hamilton is allowing 25.3 points and 349.3 yards per game. Larry Dean leads the Hamilton Tiger-Cats with 105 tackles, Ted Laurent has eight sacks and Cariel Brooks has four interceptions.
The Lions are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 playoff road games, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Division Semifinals games and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The Tiger-Cats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Hamilton.
The BC Lions have won five of their last seven games against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, and they head into this game in much better form. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats are being outscored by 7.7 points during their three-game losing streak and the defense has dipped quite a bit. Hamilton is also just 3-6 ATS at home this season. So, while home field does play a big role come playoff time, I have to give the edge to the BC Lions in this game.