Boise State Broncos vs. Nevada Wolf Pack - 3/5/14
Nevada Wolf Pack (13-16) at Boise State Broncos (19-10)
College Basketball: Wednesday, March 5, 2014 at 9:00 pm (Taco Bell Arena)
The Line: Boise State Broncos -12 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Boise State Broncos will play their last home game of the season when they host the Nevada Wolf Pack. These teams met back on January 14, and the Broncos won 74-65.
The Wolf Pack have lost six of their last seven games and have put themselves dead in the middle of the MWC standings. During their last five games, they’re averaging 67.2 points on 41 percent shooting and are allowing 71.8 points on 44.9 percent shooting. They’re usually an OK offensive team, but they’ve been held to 67 or fewer points in four of their last six games. On the road, they average 74.1 points and allow 74.5 points. They are 14-14 ATS overall and 9-5 ATS on the road.
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The Broncos continue to climb up the standings, winning four of their last five games. During this stretch, they’re averaging 74.8 points on 47.7 percent shooting and are allowing 74.2 points on 48.4 percent shooting. They're knocking down 39.8 percent from beyond the arc, which is more than a two-percent increase from their season average. At home, the Broncos average 79.3 points and allow 70.5 points. They are 8-16 ATS overall and 2-9 ATS on their home court.
Although Boise State hasn’t been able to cover the number at all this season, this is either the Broncos or no play. No matter how many points the Wolf Pack are getting, it doesn’t matter much with the lack of defense they play. In their previous meeting, the Broncos shot 45 percent from downtown. Now, put the Broncos on their home court where they shoot lights out.
This has the potential to get really ugly. Boise State is 4-0 ATS in its last four games against teams with a losing SU record.
I’ll take the Broncos and the chalk.