San Diego State Aztecs vs. North Dakota State Bison - 3/22/14 NCAA Tournament
San Diego State Aztecs (30-4) vs. North Dakota State Bison (26-6)
College Basketball: Saturday, March 22, 2014 at 6:10 pm (Spokane Arena)
The Line: North Dakota State Bison -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The San Diego State Aztecs and North Dakota State Bison will play in the third round of the NCAA tournament.
San Diego State needed overtime to knock off New Mexico State in the second round. Despite the Aztecs shooting just 39 percent from the field, San Diego State grabbed 40 rebounds and received 23 points from star guard Xavier Thames. On the season, San Diego State averages 68.5 points on 42.4 percent shooting and allows 58.2 points on 39.7 percent shooting. The Aztecs have gone 12 straight games allowing 69 or less points. Offensively, San Diego State shoots 66.9 percent from the free throw line and 34 percent from beyond the arc. The San Diego State Aztecs are 18-13 ATS overall this season.
North Dakota State had one of the biggest second round upsets with an 80-75 win over the Oklahoma Sooners. The Bison shot 52.9 percent from the field and held the Sooners to just 34.7 percent shooting. On the season, North Dakota State averages 74.9 points on 50.4 percent shooting and allows 67.7 points on 43.2 percent shooting. The Bison have not lost a game since February 1, and have held 11 of their last 12 opponents to 69 or less points. Offensively, the Bison shoot 74.7 percent from the free throw line and 36.7 percent from three. The North Dakota State Bison are 13-14 ATS overall.
The Bison are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. The Aztecs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
While the North Dakota State story is cool and all, the Bison simply haven't faced an elite defense like San Diego State all season long. The length and big bodies will throw the Bison off and lead to many empty possessions.
I'll take the Aztecs and the minor chalk.