Stanford Cardinal vs. Dayton Flyers - 3/27/14 South Region
Dayton Flyers (25-10) at Stanford Cardinal (23-12)
College Basketball: Thursday, March 27, 2014 at 7:15 pm (FedExForum)
The Line: Stanford Cardinal -2.5 -- Over/Under: 133.5 See the Latest Odds
The Dayton Flyers and Stanford Cardinal will meet Thursday night in a Sweet 16 matchup.
Dayton has been the Cinderella story of the tournament, upsetting Ohio State and Syracuse as the underdog in both games. On the season, the Flyers average 72.5 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allow 67 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Dayton is a terrific offensive team with three players averaging at least 11.2 points, but the Flyers have made their mark defensively as of late, holding both the Buckeyes and the Orange under 60 points. The Flyers shoot 68 percent from the free throw line and 37.6 percent from beyond the arc. The Dayton Flyers are 19-12 ATS overall.
Stanford has also done its fair share of upsetting in this tournament, knocking off New Mexico and Kansas. On the season, Stanford averages 72.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allows 67.9 points on 41.9 percent shooting. Stanford has four players averaging double-digit points, but none are as big as Chasson Randle, who leads the Cardinal with an average of 18.7 points and has scored 36 combined in the NCAA tournament. Defensively, Stanford has held three of its last four opponents to 58 or less points. The Stanford Cardinal are 19-12-2 ATS overall.
The Flyers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The Cardinal are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
This is an interesting matchup, but the overall size and length of Stanford makes the difference for me. The Cardinal do a nice job of crashing the glass and contesting shots in the paint. It’s going to make Dayton a jump shooting team, which of course could lead to a disaster.
Stanford simply seems to be the more complete team right now, which is why I’ll eat the small chalk.