Cincinnati vs. San Diego State - 12/17/14 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Diego State Aztecs (7-2) at Cincinnati Bearcats (6-3)
College Basketball: Wednesday, December 17, 2014 at 9:00 pm (Fifth Third Arena)
The Line: Cincinnati Bearcats -1 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The San Diego Aztecs and Cincinnati Bearcats square off Wednesday night at the Fifth Third Arena.
The San Diego Aztecs have split their last four games and play their second true road contest. On the season, San Diego State is averaging 62.3 points on 40.1 percent shooting and is allowing 55 points on 36 percent shooting. Winston Shepard leads SDSU with 10.2 points and 5.2 rebounds while Dwayne Polee II is averaging 10 points on 33.8 percent shooting. J.J. O'Brien is averaging six rebounds per game and Trey Kell is shooting 36.7 percent from the field. The San Diego Aztecs continue to rely on their defense that is forcing nearly 14 turnovers per game and holding teams to 30.1 percent shooting from beyond the arc. However, San Diego State’s offense continues to struggle, shooting just 28.3 percent from deep and scoring a combined 96 points in its last two games.
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The Cincinnati Bearcats have also split their last four games and need a marquee win to get back on track. On the season, Cincinnati is averaging 61.2 points on 41.8 percent shooting and is allowing 52.8 points on 37.2 percent shooting. Troy Caupain leads Cincy with 9.9 points and 3.1 assists while Octavius Ellis is averaging 9.3 points and eight rebounds. Gary Clark is grabbing 8.1 rebounds per game and Farad Cobb is shooting 31.5 percent from the field. The Cincinnati Bearcats are also an elite defensive team that’s holding teams to 31.7 percent shooting from deep and forcing 12.1 turnovers. The Bearcats are also averaging 37.3 rebounds per contest. However, Cincinnati has no player averaging double-digit points and is shooting just 30 percent from downtown.
The Aztecs are 42-18-2 ATS in their last 62 road games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. The Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
In a toss-up game, I usually go with the home team but there's too much value in getting the Aztecs and the free point. SDSU is an experienced team that won't be rattled from the crowd and creates more plays on the defensive end that will pay off. Look for SDSU to win this big game on the road.