Dayton vs. Saint Louis - 1/17/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Saint Louis Billikens (9-8) at Dayton Flyers (14-2)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 17, 2015 at 12:30 pm (University of Dayton Arena)
The Line: Dayton Flyers -16 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: NBC Sports Network
The Saint Louis Billikens and Dayton Flyers play Saturday afternoon at the University of Dayton Arena.
The Saint Louis Billikens have lost four of their last five games and play their fifth true road game. On the season, Saint Louis is averaging 61.9 points on 42.4 percent shooting and is allowing 65.1 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Milik Yarbrough is averaging 10.8 points and five rebounds while Achraf Yacoubou is averaging 9.9 points and 5.2 rebounds. Austin McBroom is shooting 40.5 percent from the field and Davell Roby is dishing 2.1 assists. The Saint Louis Billikens have just four players averaging more than five points, and they’re shooting 64.5 percent from the line and 33.7 percent from downtown. Defensively, Saint Louis is allowing teams to shoot 39.1 percent from deep and has given up 69 or less points in six of its last nine games.
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The Dayton Flyers have won seven straight games and look to remain undefeated in A-10 play. On the season, Dayton is averaging 69.5 points on 46.7 percent shooting and is allowing 58.9 points on 38.9 percent shooting. Jordan Sibert is averaging 15.6 points and 4.1 rebounds while Dyshawn Pierre is averaging 12.8 points and 6.9 rebounds. Scoochie Smith is dishing 4.1 assists and Kendall Pollard is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers are an elite defensive team that’s allowing 29.4 percent shooting from deep and has given up 61 or less points in four straight games. Offensively, Dayton is shooting 66.5 percent from the line and 36.2 percent from beyond the arc. Dayton is 9-0 SU on its home court.
The Billikens are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. Atlantic 10 and 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Flyers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic 10. Billikens are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Dayton and the underdog is 20-4 ATS in the last 24 meetings.
The underdog has crushed this series for as long as we can remember, which is good news for St. Louis. While Dayton is by far the better team, the Flyers have allowed some subpar squads hang around. I'll take my chances with the points here.