San Francisco Dons vs. Pepperdine Waves - 1/22/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Pepperdine Waves (12-6) at San Francisco Dons (8-11)
College Basketball: Thursday, January 22, 2015 at 10:00 pm (War Memorial Gymnasium)
The Line: San Francisco Dons -2 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Pepperdine Waves will travel to War Memorial Gymnasium to take on the San Francisco Dons this Thursday night.
The Pepperdine Waves improved to 12-6 (5-2 WCC) on the season after defeating the Portland Pilots 67-63 this past Saturday. Pepperdine shot 71.0% (22-31) from the free-throw line and forced Portland to commit 14 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Waves was Shawn Olden who had 15 points, 3 rebounds, and 3 assists. Pepperdine is ranked 133rd in the RPI Standings and has played the 224th ranked SOS. On the season, the Waves have been led by Stacy Davis (15.7 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 2.1 apg) and Jett Raines (11.4 ppg, 5.7 rpg). Offensively, Pepperdine is averaging 67.7 ppg (ranked 173rd) on 43.7% shooting (ranked 165th). The Waves are shooting 75.3% as a team from the free-throw line and commit and average of 12.2 turnovers per game (ranked 96th). Defensively, Pepperdine is holding their opponents to an average of 62.1 ppg (ranked 75th) on 40.5% shooting (ranked 95th). The Waves are holding teams to just 25.1% shooting from beyond the arc (ranked 2nd) and grab 34.39 total rpg (ranked 198th).
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The San Francisco Dons dropped to 8-11 (2-5 WCC) on the season after being defeated by the Santa Clara Broncos 70-64 this past Saturday. San Francisco allowed Santa Clara to shoot 47.6% from beyond the arc and shot only 58.3% from the free-throw line in the loss. Leading the way for the Dons was Mark Tollefsen who had a double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds. San Francisco is ranked 184th in the RPI Standings and has played the 95th ranked SOS. On the season, the Dons have been led by Kruize Pinkins (15.5 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.5 apg) and Mark Tollefsen (14.5 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.8 apg). Offensively, San Francisco is averaging 71.4 ppg (ranked 95th) on 45.9% shooting (ranked 69th). The Dons average 6.9 three-pointers per game (ranked 109th) and have a 1.24 assist/turnover ratio (ranked 57th). Defensively, San Francisco is allowing their opponents to average 68.1 ppg (ranked 226th) on 42.9% shooting (ranked 195th). The Dons grab 36.42 total rpg (ranked 108th) and have a rebound margin of 3.9 (ranked 76th).
The Waves are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. the WCC and 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games. The Dons are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 games following a ATS loss however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Pepperdine has been playing its best basketball of the season as of late and there is no reason to believe that this won’t continue against a struggling San Francisco team that has lost 5 of their last 6. San Francisco does have some size, but I think they’ll struggle to score against the Pepperdine defensive. I think Pepperdine will limit San Francisco from beating from outside and that they’ll score enough to come out of War Memorial Gymnasium with a victory. Take Pepperdine and the points in this one.