Troy vs. Arkansas State - 1/24/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-10) at Troy Trojans (7-10)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 24, 2015 at 5:15 pm (Trojan Arena)
The Line: Troy Trojans -3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Troy Trojans play Saturday afternoon at the Trojan Arena.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves have split their last four games and play their 11th true road game. On the season, Arkansas State is averaging 63.4 points on 40.3 percent shooting and is allowing 68.4 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Anthony Livingston is averaging 15.1 points and 9.1 rebounds while Cameron Golden is averaging 15.1 points and 2.9 assists. Sean Gardner is the third player averaging double-digit points and P.J. Hardwick is dishing 6.2 assists. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have five players averaging at least 6.3 points, and they’re shooting 71.4 percent from the line and 32.9 percent from downtown. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and has given up 70 or more points in six of its last eight games.
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The Troy Trojans have lost four of their last six games and look for their third Sun Belt win. On the season, Troy is averaging 66.5 points on 42.7 percent shooting and is allowing 70.4 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Musa Abdul-Aleem is averaging 15.9 points and 3.9 rebounds while Wesley Person Jr. is averaging 14.8 points on 1.4 assists. Kevin Thomas is grabbing 7.2 rebounds and Chris Bilbo is dishing 2.9 assists. The Troy Trojans have six players averaging at least 7.3 points, and they’re shooting 66.8 percent from the line and 34.6 percent from beyond the arc. Defensively, Troy is allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and has given up 71 or more points in four of its last seven games.
The Red Wolves are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss. The Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
I really like to fade teams that don't play defense, which makes this a complete toss up considering neither team likes to D up. In a game that could go either way, I have to side with Troy at home.