Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils - 1/31/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Duke Blue Devils (17-3) at Virginia Cavaliers (19-0)
College Basketball: Saturday, January 31, 2015 at 7:00 pm (John Paul Jones Arena)
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -4.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Duke Blue Devils will travel to John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The 4th ranked Duke Blue Devils had their three game winning streak snapped and dropped to 17-3 (4-3 ACC) on the season after losing 77-73 to the 8th ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish this past Wednesday. Duke allowed Notre Dame to shoot 51.8% from the field and 44.4% (8-18) from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Blue Devils was Jahlil Okafor who had a double-double with 22 points and 17 rebounds. Duke is ranked 7th in the RPI Standings and has played the 8th ranked SOS. On the season, the Blue Devils have been led by Jahlil Okafor (18.7 ppg, 9.4 rpg, 1.5 bpg) and Quinn Cook (14.4 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.8 apg). Offensively, Duke is averaging 81.2 ppg (ranked 11th) on 49.6% shooting (ranked 8th). The Blue Devils average 7.6 three-pointers per game (ranked 66th) and have a 1.37 assist/turnover ratio (ranked 26th). Defensively, Duke is allowing their opponents to average 64.6 ppg (ranked 144th) on 42.7% shooting (ranked 181st). The Blue Devils average 38.05 total rpg (ranked 42nd) and have a rebound margin of 7.3 (ranked 19th). Duke dismissed Rasheed Sulaimon (7.5 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 1.8 apg) from the team on Thursday.
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The 2nd ranked Virginia Cavaliers stayed perfect on the season (19-0, 7-0 ACC) after defeating the Virginia Tech Hokies, 50-47, this past Sunday. Virginia held Virginia tech to 26.3% (5-19) shooting from beyond the arc and outrebounded the Hokies by a 33-21 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Cavaliers was Justin Anderson who had 12 points, 6 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 steals. Virginia is ranked 3rd in the RPI Standings and has played the 11th ranked SOS. On the season, the Cavaliers have been led by Justin Anderson (13.9 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.9 apg) and Malcolm Brogdon (13.3 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.7 apg). Offensively, Virginia is averaging 68.3 ppg (ranked 155th) on 47.3% shooting (ranked 33rd). The Cavaliers are shooting 39.5% from beyond the arc (ranked 22nd) and commit only 9.0 turnovers per game (ranked 3rd). Defensively, Virginia is holding their opponents to an average of 49.1 ppg (ranked 1st) on 34.1% shooting (ranked 2nd). The Cavaliers average 27.42 defensive rpg (ranked 10th) and have a rebound margin of 10.8 (ranked 3rd).
The Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games however, just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss. The Cavaliers are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss and 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games vs. the ACC.
It’s been a tough week for Duke as they dropped a tough one at Norte Dame and had to dismiss one of their veterans in Rasheed Sulaimon this past Thursday. Virginia is one of the best teams in the country largely due to their impressive defensive. I’ve liked this Virginia team all year however, their offensive has struggled as of late and can go real cold on the perimeter at any point. I think Duke and Coach K will have their defensive ready as they did at Louisville and that the freshman duo of Tyus Jones and Jahlil Okafor will provide enough offensive for Duke to hand Virginia their first loss of the season. Take Duke and the points in this one.