Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinals - 2/7/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisville Cardinals (19-3) at Virginia Cavaliers (20-1)
College Basketball: Saturday, February 7, 2015 at 7:00 pm (John Paul Jones Arena)
The Line: Virginia Cavaliers -7 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Louisville Cardinals will travel to John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The 9th ranked Louisville Cardinals improved to 19-3 (7-2 ACC) on the season after defeating the Miami (FL) Hurricanes, 63-55, this past Tuesday. Louisville shot 47.9% from the field and 26.7% (4-15) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Cardinals was Chris Jones who had 16 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 steals. Louisville is ranked 11th in the RPI Standings and has played the 48th ranked SOS. On the season, the Cardinals have been led by Terry Rozier (18.5 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 2.1 spg) and Montrezl Harrell (15.4 ppg, 9.2 rpg, 1.1 apg). Louisville is averaging 73.1 ppg (ranked 57th) on 43.9% shooting (ranked 151st). The Cardinals are averaging 12.0 apg (ranked 217th) and shoot just 30.7% from beyond the arc (ranked 294th). Louisville is holding their opponents to an average of 58.8 ppg (ranked 20th) on 37.5% shooting (ranked 10th). The Cardinals are pulling down a total of 39.59 rpg (ranked 15th) and have a rebound margin of 3.9 (ranked 61st).
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The 3rd ranked Virginia Cavaliers improved to 20-1 (8-1 ACC) on the season after defeating the 12th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels, 75-64, this past Monday. Virginia shot 51.8% from the field and 41.7% (5-12) from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Cavaliers was Justin Anderson who had 16 points, 3 rebounds, and 7 assists. Virginia is ranked 3rd in the RPI Standings and has played the 7th ranked SOS. On the season, the Cavaliers have been led by Justin Anderson (13.9 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 2.1 apg) and Malcolm Brogdon (13.6 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.7 apg). Virginia is averaging 68.3 ppg (ranked 152nd) on 47.2% shooting (ranked 36th). The Cavaliers average just 8.9 turnovers per game (ranked 3rd) and have an assist/turnover ratio of 1.56 (ranked 7th). Virginia is holding their opponents to an average of 50.8 ppg (ranked 1st) on 35.5% shooting (ranked 2nd). The Cavaliers grab 37.43 total rpg (ranked 50th) and have a rebound margin of 9.5 (ranked 5th).
The Cardinals are 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games overall and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Cavaliers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 home games.
Louisville had a nice road victory against Miami as they did a solid job limiting Miami's biggest weapons, Angel Rodriguez and Sheldon McClellan. Virginia had a nice bounce back win coming off their first loss of the season against Duke last weekend. This is going to be a defensive battle as both teams have been prone to going on long streaks of no offensive. Although I think Virginia is going to win this game, I think this is too many points for Virginia to give up. I see a low scoring tight game in which I'll be happy to have the points by the final whistle. Take Louisville and the points.