Illinois-Chicago Flames vs. Wright State Raiders - 3/3/15 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Wright State Raiders (11-19) at Illinois-Chicago Flames (8-23)
College Basketball: Tuesday, March 3, 2015 at 8:00 pm (UIC Pavilion)
The Line: Illinois-Chicago Flames -1 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Wright State Raiders will travel to the UIC Pavilion to take on the UIC Flames in the first round of the Horizon’s League Men’s Championship this Tuesday night.
Wright State finished the regular season with an 11-19 record while ending up with a 3-13 record in the Horizon League. Wright State was projected to be one of the better teams in the Horizon this year, however, was seriously affected by injuries, especially to their top player, J.T. Yoho. The Raiders is currently ranked 246th in the RPI Standings and has played the 147th ranked SOS. The Penguins most impressive performances this year came in two impressive victories against the Belmont Bruins who are one of the stronger teams in the Ohio Valley conference.
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With many key players out, Wright State struggled on the offensive end this year as they averaged just 64.4 ppg (ranked 247th) on 43.9% shooting (ranked 149th). Along with their offensive struggles, the Raiders allowed opponents to average 68.2 ppg (ranked 228th) on 45.3% shooting (ranked 291st). Wright State they averaged 6.4 three-pointers per game (ranked 174th) on 33.9% three-point shooting (ranked 190th). Leading the way for the Raiders this season was JT Yoho (15.6 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.1 apg) and Joe Thomasson (9.9 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 3.2 apg). The Raiders enter the contest losing 9 straight games and have only averaged 50.6 ppg over the past three games.
UIC finished the regular season with an overall record of 8-23 while going 4-12 in the Horizon. UIC played a tough non-conference schedule, but once again ended up at the bottom of the Horizon League. The Flames are ranked 306th in the RPI Standings and has played the 156th SOS. Although the Flames have struggled on the season, they did win 3 of their last 7 games including two wins against Wright State.
UIC struggled on both ends of the court as they allowed opponents to average 70.7 ppg (ranked 285th) on 47.8% shooting (ranked 339th) while only scoring 64.9 ppg (ranked 236th) on 38.6% shooting (ranked 331st). The Flames really allowed teams to do damage from beyond the arc as opponents shot 39.3% from beyond the arc (ranked 340th). The Flames did do a nice job at the free-throw line as they shot 74.0% (ranked 27th) and protected the ball well committing only 11.3 turnovers per game (ranked 52nd). Leading the way for the Flames on the season was Jay Harris (14.6 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 3.5 apg) and Paris Burns (10.4 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 2.4 apg).
The Raiders are 1-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Flames are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
In their match-up just this past weekend, UIC was able to win 61-46 due to great free-throw shooting in which they shot 88.9% (24-27). Wright State was recently able to get both JT Yoho and Joe Thomasson back in the line-up and get them some quality mintues to shake off the rust before the conference tournment. Although they dropped both of their regular season match-ups to UIC, I think Wright State will find their offensive in this one and walk out of the UIC Pavilion with a victory. Take Wright State and the point.